Massachusetts

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

87.8%Massachusetts

12.2%Northern Illinois

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMassachusetts -10.8

PROJECTED TOTAL155.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMassachusetts -720

Northern Illinois

9-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMassachusetts 83

Projected Total155.2

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 72

Team Comparison

MassachusettsMetricNorthern Illinois

51.5MMH Power Index29.2

110.3Offensive Efficiency99.7

106.7Defensive Efficiency111.6

3.6Net Efficiency-11.9

0.9Strength of Schedule-2.1

-4.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-28.8

72.8Tempo69.7

53.2%Effective FG%48.5%

17.9%Turnover Rate21.3%

33.7%Offensive Rebound %31.7%

37.7%Free Throw Rate39.6%

2.6Average Margin-8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Massachusetts HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY87.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMassachusetts holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.5–29.2), offensive efficiency (110.3–99.7), defensive efficiency (106.7–111.6), net efficiency (3.6–-11.9).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (39.6–37.7).

Final

Massachusetts

68—70

Northern Illinois

Northern Illinois by 2 • 72.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MassachusettsTEAM STATNorthern Illinois

20-52FG21-58

38.0%FG%36.0%

7-193PT7-29

37.0%3PT%24.0%

21-30FT21-30

70.0%FT%70.0%

34Rebounds41

10Offensive Rebounds15

11Assists13

18Turnovers14

10Steals13

8Blocks2

22Fouls20

Player Box Score

Massachusetts

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Leonardo Bettiol	F	29	7-12	0-0	11-14	7	1	2	1	25
Marcus Banks Jr.	G	32	5-12	4-10	2-2	2	3	1	0	16
K'Jei Parker	G	23	5-12	3-6	2-2	5	1	0	0	15
Jayden Ndjigue	G	24	1-1	0-0	2-6	2	0	2	0	4
Danny Carbuccia	G	23	1-3	0-0	0-2	4	3	1	1	2
Luka Damjanac	F	20	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	2	2
Daniel Hankins-Sanford	F	16	0-4	0-0	2-2	3	1	0	2	2
Isaiah Placide	G	12	0-2	0-0	2-2	1	0	2	0	2
Dwayne Wimbley Jr.	F	16	0-2	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	2	0
Donovan Brown	G	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Makhai Valentine	G	37	9-17	4-9	5-6	4	3	4	0	27
Hassan Washington	F	27	5-6	0-0	1-4	5	0	0	0	11
Gianni Cobb	G	35	1-10	0-5	6-8	0	6	6	0	8
Gustav Winther	F	13	2-3	0-0	3-4	3	0	0	0	7
Dylan Ducommun	G	27	1-8	1-6	3-4	3	2	1	0	6
Taj Walters	G	39	1-6	0-3	3-4	8	2	2	1	5
Daemar Kelly	G	16	1-5	1-4	0-0	3	0	0	1	3
Carlos Coronado	G	3	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Ladji Kante	F	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.8Possessions72.8

93.4Offensive Efficiency96.2

96.2Defensive Efficiency93.4

-2.7Net Efficiency2.7

45.2%Effective FG%42.2%

51.3%True Shooting %48.4%

24.2%Turnover Rate19.6%

57.7%Free Throw Rate51.7%

36.5%3-Point Rate50.0%

0.61Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Northern Illinois won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 72.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.