Richmond

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.7%Richmond

91.3%Saint Louis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Louis -17.2

PROJECTED TOTAL157.2

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Louis -1049

Saint Louis

29-6

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreRichmond 70

Projected Total157.2

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 87

Team Comparison

RichmondMetricSaint Louis

50.2MMH Power Index66.7

111.3Offensive Efficiency120.8

107.3Defensive Efficiency97.6

4.0Net Efficiency23.2

0.3Strength of Schedule0.3

-6.6Last 10 Net Efficiency0.1

68.9Tempo72.2

52.8%Effective FG%59.9%

14.1%Turnover Rate17.1%

24.7%Offensive Rebound %31.6%

37.5%Free Throw Rate33.9%

2.8Average Margin16.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–50.2), offensive efficiency (120.8–111.3), defensive efficiency (97.6–107.3), net efficiency (23.2–4.0).

Richmond COUNTERS WITHball security (14.1–17.1), free throw rate (37.5–33.9).

Final

Richmond

63—88

Saint Louis

Saint Louis by 25 • 69.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

RichmondTEAM STATSaint Louis

20-59FG30-61

34.0%FG%49.0%

6-203PT10-30

30.0%3PT%33.0%

17-21FT18-23

81.0%FT%78.0%

31Rebounds46

9Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists17

10Turnovers9

8Steals7

3Blocks3

16Fouls20

Player Box Score

Richmond

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Lopez	G	32	7-14	1-3	5-5	4	0	1	2	20
Will Harper III	G	26	4-9	2-2	7-9	4	1	1	0	17
Aiden Argabright	G	14	2-4	1-1	2-2	0	1	1	0	7
Will Johnston	G	24	1-10	1-7	2-2	2	1	3	0	5
Jaylen Robinson	F	15	2-2	0-0	1-3	1	1	0	0	5
David Thomas	G	13	2-3	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Mike Walz	C	18	1-5	0-2	0-0	5	1	0	0	2
Jonathan Beagle	F	17	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	1	2
Mikkel Tyne	G	19	0-5	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Apostolos Roumoglou	F	15	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Jaden Daughtry	F	7	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kellen Thames	G	18	6-8	0-1	4-4	5	2	2	0	16
Robbie Avila	C	26	4-5	0-1	6-8	6	3	0	0	14
Amari McCottry	G	24	4-7	1-3	3-4	6	1	0	0	12
Dion Brown	G	23	4-7	0-1	2-2	8	2	3	0	10
Brady Dunlap	F	19	3-8	3-5	1-1	3	0	1	0	10
Trey Green	G	19	3-8	3-8	0-0	4	0	1	0	9
Ishan Sharma	F	24	3-8	2-7	0-0	6	5	0	0	8
Quentin Jones	G	25	1-3	0-2	2-2	3	3	0	1	4
Cam Hutson	G	3	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Paul Otieno	F	12	1-4	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	2	2
Jax Kerr	F	3	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaac Holmes	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Jaden Schertz	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.5Possessions69.5

90.6Offensive Efficiency126.6

126.6Defensive Efficiency90.6

-36.0Net Efficiency36.0

39.0%Effective FG%57.4%

45.7%True Shooting %61.2%

14.3%Turnover Rate13.1%

35.6%Free Throw Rate37.7%

33.9%3-Point Rate49.2%

0.90Assist / Turnover1.89

Game Summary

Saint Louis won by 25 points. The game played at approximately 69.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.