Western Illinois

5-26

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.4%Western Illinois

92.6%Little Rock

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLittle Rock -16.0

PROJECTED TOTAL143.6

MODEL MONEYLINELittle Rock -1251

Little Rock

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Illinois 64

Projected Total143.6

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 80

Team Comparison

Western IllinoisMetricLittle Rock

25.9MMH Power Index44

96.2Offensive Efficiency103.0

113.9Defensive Efficiency108.2

-17.7Net Efficiency-5.2

-2.4Strength of Schedule0.5

-26.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.7

67.5Tempo68.5

45.4%Effective FG%50.3%

17.5%Turnover Rate18.7%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %32.1%

37.5%Free Throw Rate28.6%

-11.9Average Margin-3.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Little Rock HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLittle Rock holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.0–25.9), offensive efficiency (103.0–96.2), defensive efficiency (108.2–113.9), net efficiency (-5.2–-17.7).

Western Illinois COUNTERS WITHball security (17.5–18.7), free throw rate (37.5–28.6).

Final

Western Illinois

79—86

Little Rock

Little Rock by 7 • 67.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western IllinoisTEAM STATLittle Rock

29-66FG30-63

44.0%FG%48.0%

6-223PT11-24

27.0%3PT%46.0%

15-23FT15-15

65.0%FT%100.0%

42Rebounds32

18Offensive Rebounds9

8Assists21

8Turnovers7

6Steals5

1Blocks7

16Fouls18

Player Box Score

Western Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Isaiah Griffin	F	36	9-21	3-4	7-11	4	0	1	0	28
Lucas Lorenzen	G	37	8-16	3-11	1-2	3	2	1	0	20
Ifiok Peter	F	25	5-7	0-0	2-4	6	0	0	1	12
Karyiek Dixon	F	38	4-11	0-2	3-4	13	1	0	0	11
Danny Stephens	G	7	1-2	0-1	2-2	0	0	1	0	4
Makai Kvamme	G	35	1-4	0-2	0-0	4	5	3	0	2
Goanar Biliew	F	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Francis Okwuosah	F	7	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Nick Hittle	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cameron Wallace	F	37	8-14	0-0	5-5	8	3	2	0	21
Johnathan Lawson	G	37	6-15	6-13	2-2	5	4	2	1	20
Kachi Nzeh	F	31	6-9	2-2	4-4	7	2	0	1	18
Truman Claytor IV	F	21	4-9	2-5	0-0	1	3	1	0	10
Braxton Bayless	G	38	3-10	1-4	2-2	5	6	0	0	9
Tuongthach Gatkek	F	29	2-3	0-0	2-2	2	3	0	4	6
Caleb Pennyfeather	F	7	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

67.5Possessions67.5

117.0Offensive Efficiency127.4

127.4Defensive Efficiency117.0

-10.4Net Efficiency10.4

48.5%Effective FG%56.3%

51.3%True Shooting %61.3%

12.0%Turnover Rate10.3%

34.8%Free Throw Rate23.8%

33.3%3-Point Rate38.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover3.00

Game Summary

Little Rock won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 67.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.