Southern Miss

19-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.9%Southern Miss

61.1%Texas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -4.1

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -157

Texas State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Miss 72

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreTexas State 76

Team Comparison

Southern MissMetricTexas State

49.9MMH Power Index49.4

106.1Offensive Efficiency107.7

104.9Defensive Efficiency103.4

1.2Net Efficiency4.3

-0.2Strength of Schedule-4.7

3.8Last 10 Net Efficiency9.1

70.4Tempo68.6

49.9%Effective FG%51.3%

18.4%Turnover Rate18.4%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

43.9%Free Throw Rate36.0%

0.9Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (107.7–106.1), defensive efficiency (103.4–104.9), net efficiency (4.3–1.2), recent form (9.1–3.8).

Southern Miss COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (49.9–49.4), strength of schedule (-0.2–-4.7), free throw rate (43.9–36.0).

Final

Southern Miss

67—74

Texas State

Texas State by 7 • 71.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern MissTEAM STATTexas State

22-52FG20-42

42.0%FG%48.0%

3-153PT6-13

20.0%3PT%46.0%

20-24FT28-35

83.0%FT%80.0%

24Rebounds33

5Offensive Rebounds6

6Assists6

14Turnovers18

14Steals8

5Blocks3

25Fouls19

Player Box Score

Southern Miss

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tylik Weeks	F	36	8-15	0-1	8-10	4	1	2	1	24
Dylan Brumfield	G	36	5-9	1-3	5-7	5	2	5	0	16
Djahi Binet	F	31	3-5	1-1	0-0	3	1	0	4	7
Brewer Carruth	G	25	3-7	0-2	1-1	1	1	2	0	7
Israel Hart	G	25	2-9	0-3	2-2	1	0	4	0	6
Tegra Izay	C	9	0-1	0-0	4-4	2	0	0	0	4
Curt Lewis	G	24	1-4	1-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
Chiante' Tramble	G	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Fallou Diagne	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kaden Gumbs	G	38	6-10	2-3	4-6	8	3	2	0	18
DJ Hall	F	33	5-10	0-0	7-9	6	2	3	2	17
Franck Emmou	G	30	3-9	1-5	6-6	1	0	0	0	13
Robert Fields	C	17	0-1	0-0	9-10	2	0	0	0	9
Kyndall Davis	G	32	2-4	2-4	0-0	3	1	2	0	6
Makai Willis	C	13	2-3	0-0	2-2	6	0	0	0	6
Mark Drone	G	10	1-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	3
Jalen Bolden	G	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Tay Knox	C	16	0-1	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.5Possessions71.5

93.7Offensive Efficiency103.5

103.5Defensive Efficiency93.7

-9.8Net Efficiency9.8

45.2%Effective FG%54.8%

52.8%True Shooting %63.1%

19.3%Turnover Rate25.5%

46.2%Free Throw Rate83.3%

28.8%3-Point Rate31.0%

0.43Assist / Turnover0.33

Game Summary

Texas State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 71.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.