Southern

17-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

45.9%Southern

54.1%Grambling

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGrambling -2.4

PROJECTED TOTAL150.8

MODEL MONEYLINEGrambling -118

Grambling

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern 74

Projected Total150.8

Projected ScoreGrambling 77

Team Comparison

SouthernMetricGrambling

44.5MMH Power Index41.4

108.7Offensive Efficiency100.7

106.4Defensive Efficiency100.4

2.3Net Efficiency0.3

-7.5Strength of Schedule-5.7

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.4

73.3Tempo69.9

51.3%Effective FG%49.2%

16.3%Turnover Rate20.9%

31.9%Offensive Rebound %30.4%

40.3%Free Throw Rate42.2%

1.7Average Margin0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY54.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.5–41.4), offensive efficiency (108.7–100.7), net efficiency (2.3–0.3), recent form (2.0–-0.4).

Grambling COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.4–106.4), strength of schedule (-5.7–-7.5), free throw rate (42.2–40.3).

Final

Southern

71—53

Grambling

Southern by 18 • 69.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

SouthernTEAM STATGrambling

25-56FG14-44

45.0%FG%32.0%

8-223PT3-16

36.0%3PT%19.0%

13-22FT22-32

59.0%FT%69.0%

32Rebounds38

10Offensive Rebounds12

15Assists3

13Turnovers23

16Steals7

7Blocks3

21Fouls18

Player Box Score

Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Fazl Oshodi	G	29	5-11	3-9	3-3	3	0	2	0	16
Michael Jacobs	G	37	5-15	3-6	1-4	2	9	0	0	14
AJ Barnes	F	28	3-8	1-3	3-3	2	5	6	0	10
Terrance Dixon Jr.	F	22	5-5	0-0	0-2	3	0	1	2	10
DaMariee Jones	F	22	3-4	0-0	0-2	9	0	2	3	6
Brandon Hardy	G	23	1-2	0-1	3-4	4	0	3	0	5
Malek Abdelgowad	F	18	2-7	0-0	1-2	6	0	1	2	5
Joe Manning	G	8	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	3
Ashton Magee	F	7	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
D'Mari Wiltz	G	6	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Grambling

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Derrius Ward	G	25	3-9	2-5	3-4	2	0	1	0	11
Jamil Muttilib	G	30	1-7	0-4	8-12	4	1	2	1	10
Jimel Lane	F	21	2-7	0-1	6-6	5	1	2	0	10
Saliou Seye	F	14	3-4	0-1	0-2	7	0	1	1	6
Chancellor Perkins	G	20	2-3	1-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	5
Mekhi Fitts	F	14	1-2	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	1	4
Randarius Jones	C	21	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Rickey Ballard	F	20	0-3	0-2	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Devyn Franklin	G	14	1-2	0-1	0-2	4	0	0	0	2
Antonio Munoz	F	19	0-5	0-1	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
Richard Amaefule	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.9Possessions69.9

101.6Offensive Efficiency75.8

75.8Defensive Efficiency101.6

25.8Net Efficiency-25.8

51.8%Effective FG%35.2%

53.4%True Shooting %44.8%

18.7%Turnover Rate32.8%

39.3%Free Throw Rate72.7%

39.3%3-Point Rate36.4%

1.15Assist / Turnover0.13

Game Summary

Southern won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 69.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.