UC Irvine

23-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

64.7%UC Irvine

35.3%UC Davis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Irvine -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL151.2

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Irvine -183

UC Davis

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Irvine 77

Projected Total151.2

Projected ScoreUC Davis 74

Team Comparison

UC IrvineMetricUC Davis

58.4MMH Power Index48.4

106.9Offensive Efficiency107.2

95.0Defensive Efficiency103.7

11.9Net Efficiency3.5

-1.0Strength of Schedule-1.9

10.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

72.3Tempo72.4

50.7%Effective FG%52.3%

17.6%Turnover Rate17.7%

33.1%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

36.5%Free Throw Rate41.5%

8.6Average Margin2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Irvine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Irvine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.4–48.4), defensive efficiency (95.0–103.7), net efficiency (11.9–3.5), strength of schedule (-1.0–-1.9).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (107.2–106.9), shooting efficiency (52.3–50.7), free throw rate (41.5–36.5).

Final

UC Irvine

72—75

UC Davis

UC Davis by 3 • 68.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC IrvineTEAM STATUC Davis

27-58FG22-57

47.0%FG%39.0%

5-153PT11-27

33.0%3PT%41.0%

13-13FT20-30

100.0%FT%67.0%

35Rebounds35

9Offensive Rebounds13

11Assists14

14Turnovers10

4Steals9

5Blocks3

22Fouls17

Player Box Score

UC Irvine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jurian Dixon	G	23	6-14	2-6	2-2	1	0	0	0	16
Jovan Jester Jr.	G	19	5-8	2-3	0-0	2	2	1	0	12
Harrison Carrington	F	19	4-6	0-1	3-3	5	3	0	0	11
Kyle Evans	F	27	3-8	0-1	4-4	10	1	1	4	10
Andre Henry	G	31	4-7	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	9
Derin Saran	G	26	2-7	0-1	2-2	4	1	1	0	6
Tama Isaac	G	25	1-5	0-1	2-2	2	3	1	0	4
Elijah Chol	F	14	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Nes Emeneke	F	12	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	2
Akiva McBirney-Griffin	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Niko Rocak	F	31	5-13	4-11	3-4	6	5	1	2	17
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	26	5-7	3-4	1-1	3	0	0	0	14
Omer Suljanovic	F	14	4-8	2-2	2-2	3	0	0	1	12
Nils Cooper	G	22	4-6	1-1	2-5	6	2	3	0	11
Marcus Wilson	G	27	1-8	0-2	7-8	2	3	3	0	9
Isaiah Chappell	F	28	2-5	0-3	2-4	5	1	1	0	6
Connor Sevilla	G	35	1-5	1-2	2-2	0	1	0	0	5
Brayden Fagbemi	G	15	0-4	0-1	1-4	3	2	1	0	1
Cyril Franklin Jr.	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jalen Stokes	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.8Possessions68.8

104.7Offensive Efficiency109.0

109.0Defensive Efficiency104.7

-4.4Net Efficiency4.4

50.9%Effective FG%48.2%

56.1%True Shooting %52.6%

20.2%Turnover Rate14.7%

22.4%Free Throw Rate52.6%

25.9%3-Point Rate47.4%

0.79Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 68.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.