Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.4%Northwestern State

70.6%Incarnate Word

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIncarnate Word -6.7

PROJECTED TOTAL141.6

MODEL MONEYLINEIncarnate Word -240

Incarnate Word

12-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 67

Projected Total141.6

Projected ScoreIncarnate Word 74

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricIncarnate Word

41.3MMH Power Index44.6

104.0Offensive Efficiency112.0

109.0Defensive Efficiency111.2

-5.0Net Efficiency0.8

-1.6Strength of Schedule-3.6

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

63.6Tempo66.3

49.5%Effective FG%52.2%

17.6%Turnover Rate16.8%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %34.4%

41.2%Free Throw Rate34.0%

-3.2Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Incarnate Word HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIncarnate Word holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.6–41.3), offensive efficiency (112.0–104.0), net efficiency (0.8–-5.0), shooting efficiency (52.2–49.5).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.0–111.2), strength of schedule (-1.6–-3.6), recent form (-4.9–-8.5).

Final

Northwestern State

74—76

Incarnate Word

Incarnate Word by 2 • 65.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATIncarnate Word

25-47FG23-49

53.0%FG%47.0%

5-163PT8-19

31.0%3PT%42.0%

19-25FT22-25

76.0%FT%88.0%

23Rebounds28

5Offensive Rebounds9

12Assists10

13Turnovers13

7Steals6

1Blocks3

20Fouls23

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Izzy Miles	G	34	6-11	1-3	7-10	2	1	1	0	20
Willie Williams	F	31	8-11	0-0	2-5	9	1	1	0	18
Micah Thomas	G	31	6-10	1-4	4-4	1	4	2	0	17
Chris Mubiru	G	34	2-4	1-3	4-4	3	2	1	0	9
Landyn Jumawan	G	20	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	2	0	3
Justin Redmond	G	12	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	2	0	0	3
CJ Larry	PG	17	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
J.C. Riley Jr.	C	9	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	1	2
Omar Adegbola	G	6	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Kordrick Turner	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Chip Brunt	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Incarnate Word

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tahj Staveskie	G	34	6-15	2-5	9-11	6	4	1	1	23
Love Bettis	G	27	5-8	2-4	2-2	1	0	1	0	14
Jordan Pyke	F	19	3-3	1-1	5-5	6	2	0	0	12
Davion Bailey	G	25	2-7	1-5	1-2	1	0	1	0	6
Harold Woods	G	27	2-5	0-1	1-1	3	3	1	1	5
Marcus Glover	F	11	0-0	0-0	4-4	3	1	1	1	4
Jayden Williams	C	9	2-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	4
Harrison Reede	G	12	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Amani Drummond	G	7	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Lewis Rowe	C	19	1-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Esteban Mann	F	9	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Mihael Tomic	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.9Possessions65.9

112.3Offensive Efficiency115.3

115.3Defensive Efficiency112.3

-3.0Net Efficiency3.0

58.5%Effective FG%55.1%

62.8%True Shooting %62.4%

19.4%Turnover Rate20.0%

53.2%Free Throw Rate51.0%

34.0%3-Point Rate38.8%

0.92Assist / Turnover0.77

Game Summary

Incarnate Word won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 65.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.