Louisiana Tech

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.2%Louisiana Tech

64.8%Jacksonville State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville State -4.4

PROJECTED TOTAL137.1

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville State -184

Jacksonville State

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisiana Tech 66

Projected Total137.1

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 71

Team Comparison

Louisiana TechMetricJacksonville State

50.3MMH Power Index51.2

106.1Offensive Efficiency108.2

98.7Defensive Efficiency101.8

7.4Net Efficiency6.4

-5.1Strength of Schedule-2.3

5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.3

65.9Tempo67.2

49.4%Effective FG%51.0%

18.5%Turnover Rate17.0%

37.3%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

33.5%Free Throw Rate44.5%

4.9Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Jacksonville State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJacksonville State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.2–50.3), offensive efficiency (108.2–106.1), strength of schedule (-2.3–-5.1), shooting efficiency (51.0–49.4).

Louisiana Tech COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (98.7–101.8), net efficiency (7.4–6.4), recent form (5.4–-0.3).

Final

Louisiana Tech

60—64

Jacksonville State

Jacksonville State by 4 • 58.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Louisiana TechTEAM STATJacksonville State

22-56FG20-49

39.0%FG%41.0%

4-173PT10-23

24.0%3PT%43.0%

12-13FT14-18

92.0%FT%78.0%

36Rebounds28

15Offensive Rebounds9

5Assists11

10Turnovers11

5Steals7

4Blocks2

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

Louisiana Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DJ Dudley	G	40	9-22	3-6	4-4	3	2	1	0	25
Avery Thomas II	F	29	4-13	1-5	4-4	5	1	1	0	13
Jaylen Fenner	G	37	1-2	0-1	4-4	6	1	1	1	6
Melian Martinez	C	24	2-3	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	2	4
AJ Bates	G	23	2-8	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	4
Kylan Howze	F	16	2-2	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	1	4
Will Allen	F	22	1-3	0-2	0-0	5	0	2	0	2
Scooter Williams	G	9	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mostapha El Moutaouakkil	G	31	5-14	2-5	6-6	6	2	0	0	18
AC Bryant	G	35	5-12	4-8	1-2	3	1	2	0	15
Emondrek Erkins-Ford	F	27	4-8	1-2	2-4	4	0	0	1	11
Jamar Franklin	G	25	3-5	3-5	0-0	3	0	2	0	9
Jacoby Hill	G	30	3-7	0-3	2-2	3	4	2	0	8
Jaye Nash	G	17	0-1	0-0	2-2	3	3	1	0	2
Iaroslav Niagu	F	26	0-1	0-0	1-2	5	1	0	1	1
Marcus Fitzgerald Jr.	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Toby Nnadozie	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

58.4Possessions58.4

102.7Offensive Efficiency109.6

109.6Defensive Efficiency102.7

-6.8Net Efficiency6.8

42.9%Effective FG%51.0%

48.3%True Shooting %55.6%

17.5%Turnover Rate18.5%

23.2%Free Throw Rate36.7%

30.4%3-Point Rate46.9%

0.50Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Jacksonville State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 58.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.