Wake Forest

18-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.7%Wake Forest

65.3%Florida State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFlorida State -4.7

PROJECTED TOTAL160.8

MODEL MONEYLINEFlorida State -188

Florida State

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWake Forest 78

Projected Total160.8

Projected ScoreFlorida State 83

Team Comparison

Wake ForestMetricFlorida State

57.6MMH Power Index58.7

112.4Offensive Efficiency111.9

109.7Defensive Efficiency108.5

2.7Net Efficiency3.4

7.2Strength of Schedule5.7

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency7.6

70.2Tempo71.8

52.8%Effective FG%52.4%

15.5%Turnover Rate15.2%

30.0%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

36.1%Free Throw Rate35.2%

1.9Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Florida State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFlorida State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.7–57.6), defensive efficiency (108.5–109.7), net efficiency (3.4–2.7), recent form (7.6–-0.1).

Wake Forest COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.4–111.9), strength of schedule (7.2–5.7), shooting efficiency (52.8–52.4).

Final

Wake Forest

69—68

Florida State

Wake Forest by 1 • 65.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Wake ForestTEAM STATFlorida State

26-63FG22-58

41.0%FG%38.0%

8-343PT7-31

24.0%3PT%23.0%

9-12FT17-19

75.0%FT%89.0%

28Rebounds44

9Offensive Rebounds16

8Assists10

5Turnovers16

10Steals2

2Blocks2

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

Wake Forest

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nate Calmese	G	35	8-19	2-10	0-3	0	3	4	0	18
Juke Harris	G	38	4-13	3-10	4-4	9	0	1	0	15
Myles Colvin	G	37	5-13	2-8	3-3	4	3	2	0	15
Cooper Schwieger	F	28	3-5	0-0	2-2	3	1	2	1	8
Tre'Von Spillers	F	32	3-4	0-0	0-0	7	0	1	1	6
Mekhi Mason	G	18	2-6	1-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	5
Sebastian Akins	G	6	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Omaha Biliew	F	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Marqus Marion	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chauncey Wiggins	F	35	5-9	0-4	5-5	3	2	0	0	15
Robert McCray V	G	31	3-10	1-4	5-5	6	5	1	1	12
Thomas Bassong	F	29	4-8	2-4	1-1	5	0	0	0	11
Martin Somerville	G	23	2-7	1-5	4-4	5	1	0	0	9
Lajae Jones	G	29	3-11	1-6	0-0	10	0	0	1	7
AJ Swinton	F	18	2-5	1-3	1-1	4	0	1	0	6
Alex Steen	F	15	2-3	0-0	1-3	5	1	0	0	5
Cam Miles	G	2	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Kobe MaGee	G	18	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.9Possessions65.9

104.7Offensive Efficiency103.2

103.2Defensive Efficiency104.7

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

47.6%Effective FG%44.0%

50.2%True Shooting %50.7%

7.7%Turnover Rate23.9%

19.0%Free Throw Rate32.8%

54.0%3-Point Rate53.4%

1.60Assist / Turnover0.63

Game Summary

Wake Forest won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 65.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.