Missouri State

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

34.0%Missouri State

66.0%Middle Tennessee

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiddle Tennessee -5.3

PROJECTED TOTAL150.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMiddle Tennessee -194

Middle Tennessee

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri State 72

Projected Total150.0

Projected ScoreMiddle Tennessee 78

Team Comparison

Missouri StateMetricMiddle Tennessee

51.1MMH Power Index52.5

110.5Offensive Efficiency109.6

108.4Defensive Efficiency105.7

2.1Net Efficiency3.9

0.5Strength of Schedule0.4

-2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency3.2

67.9Tempo68.8

51.8%Effective FG%52.2%

16.4%Turnover Rate16.7%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

42.9%Free Throw Rate33.2%

1.4Average Margin2.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Middle Tennessee HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiddle Tennessee holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.5–51.1), defensive efficiency (105.7–108.4), net efficiency (3.9–2.1), recent form (3.2–-2.1).

Missouri State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.5–109.6), strength of schedule (0.5–0.4), ball security (16.4–16.7).

Final

Missouri State

87—90

Middle Tennessee

Middle Tennessee by 3 • 76.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Missouri StateTEAM STATMiddle Tennessee

30-69FG29-55

43.0%FG%53.0%

11-253PT14-28

44.0%3PT%50.0%

16-26FT18-23

62.0%FT%78.0%

33Rebounds36

15Offensive Rebounds9

16Assists17

11Turnovers18

10Steals5

2Blocks10

22Fouls20

Player Box Score

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keith Palek III	F	43	6-17	2-5	6-9	8	7	3	1	20
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	32	8-14	0-0	4-7	6	1	0	1	20
Kobi Williams	G	45	5-14	4-9	5-6	4	2	1	0	19
Zaxton King	G	34	4-7	3-5	0-0	2	2	3	0	11
Antwan Burnett	G	32	3-4	1-2	0-0	1	0	1	0	7
Cameron Boone	F	12	3-4	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	7
Trey Williams Jr.	G	28	1-6	1-3	0-0	1	3	1	0	3
Darrion Sutton	F	10	0-1	0-0	0-2	2	1	1	0	0
Melakih Cunningham	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Tyrique Brooks	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Middle Tennessee

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Torey Alston	F	43	6-12	1-2	9-12	9	3	0	3	22
Kamari Lands	G	44	7-14	7-13	0-0	3	1	1	3	21
Alec Oglesby	G	32	3-6	3-5	2-2	0	0	0	0	11
Sean Smith	G	27	5-5	1-1	0-0	2	4	1	1	11
Jahvin Carter	G	25	3-8	1-3	4-5	6	5	1	0	11
Chris Loofe	F	39	2-6	0-2	1-2	10	3	0	2	5
Tre Green	G	14	1-1	1-1	2-2	3	1	1	0	5
Marcus Whitlock Jr.	G	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	1	2
Luka Jovanovic	C	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
James Dent Jr.	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

76.2Possessions76.2

114.2Offensive Efficiency118.1

118.1Defensive Efficiency114.2

-3.9Net Efficiency3.9

51.4%Effective FG%65.5%

53.5%True Shooting %68.3%

14.2%Turnover Rate24.0%

37.7%Free Throw Rate41.8%

36.2%3-Point Rate50.9%

1.45Assist / Turnover0.94

Game Summary

Middle Tennessee won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 76.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.