Cal State Fullerton

18-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.0%Cal State Fullerton

40.0%UC Riverside

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Fullerton -1.7

PROJECTED TOTAL161.6

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Fullerton -150

UC Riverside

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Fullerton 82

Projected Total161.6

Projected ScoreUC Riverside 80

Team Comparison

Cal State FullertonMetricUC Riverside

49.4MMH Power Index41.2

108.8Offensive Efficiency103.1

107.1Defensive Efficiency110.1

1.7Net Efficiency-7.0

-1.2Strength of Schedule0.5

2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.1

76.3Tempo70.7

52.6%Effective FG%49.8%

15.1%Turnover Rate18.5%

25.5%Offensive Rebound %28.5%

39.6%Free Throw Rate35.2%

1.3Average Margin-4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Fullerton HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Fullerton holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–41.2), offensive efficiency (108.8–103.1), defensive efficiency (107.1–110.1), net efficiency (1.7–-7.0).

UC Riverside COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-1.2), offensive rebounding (28.5–25.5).

Final

Cal State Fullerton

72—81

UC Riverside

UC Riverside by 9 • 77.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State FullertonTEAM STATUC Riverside

23-60FG28-55

38.0%FG%51.0%

4-253PT7-21

16.0%3PT%33.0%

22-31FT18-22

71.0%FT%82.0%

32Rebounds38

10Offensive Rebounds6

11Assists16

14Turnovers17

11Steals5

3Blocks2

19Fouls23

Player Box Score

Cal State Fullerton

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	34	3-8	1-5	10-12	6	2	3	0	17
Jaden Henderson	G	18	5-10	0-2	2-2	6	1	0	0	12
Joshua Ward	G	28	5-10	0-4	0-1	1	0	1	0	10
Bryce Cofield	G	23	2-8	0-1	3-6	7	1	1	0	7
Landon Seaman	F	19	3-6	0-1	1-2	6	4	3	1	7
Christian Williams	G	24	2-7	1-3	1-1	1	2	1	1	6
Davis White	G	18	2-4	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Kendrick De Luna	F	18	1-2	0-0	2-3	1	1	2	1	4
Bailey Nunn	G	14	0-5	0-5	3-4	1	0	0	0	3
KJ Garris	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Matthew Quinlan	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Riverside

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marqui Worthy Jr.	G	38	6-15	0-6	10-13	3	3	3	0	22
Andrew Henderson	G	36	7-15	3-5	0-0	10	2	1	1	17
BJ Kolly	F	27	5-7	0-1	2-2	10	2	1	1	12
Osiris Grady	F	31	3-7	1-2	3-3	5	4	0	0	10
Ben Waller	G	16	3-4	1-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	9
Tyler Jones	G	24	2-5	2-5	1-2	2	2	0	0	7
Jailen Daniel-Dalton	F	28	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	3	0	0	4

Advanced Game Stats

77.6Possessions77.6

92.8Offensive Efficiency104.4

104.4Defensive Efficiency92.8

-11.6Net Efficiency11.6

41.7%Effective FG%57.3%

48.2%True Shooting %61.9%

17.8%Turnover Rate22.2%

51.7%Free Throw Rate40.0%

41.7%3-Point Rate38.2%

0.79Assist / Turnover0.94

Game Summary

UC Riverside won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 77.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.