Tarleton State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.8%Tarleton State

69.2%Utah Tech

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah Tech -5.5

PROJECTED TOTAL151.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah Tech -225

Utah Tech

19-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTarleton State 73

Projected Total151.8

Projected ScoreUtah Tech 79

Team Comparison

Tarleton StateMetricUtah Tech

44.6MMH Power Index47.3

103.2Offensive Efficiency108.8

101.6Defensive Efficiency106.1

1.6Net Efficiency2.7

-2.3Strength of Schedule-2.3

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.0

72.2Tempo70.6

49.0%Effective FG%54.4%

19.9%Turnover Rate17.5%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

42.8%Free Throw Rate32.8%

1.1Average Margin1.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah Tech HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah Tech holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.3–44.6), offensive efficiency (108.8–103.2), net efficiency (2.7–1.6), recent form (-2.0–-6.7).

Tarleton State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.6–106.1), offensive rebounding (31.8–28.1), free throw rate (42.8–32.8).

Final

Tarleton State

71—75

Utah Tech

Utah Tech by 4 • 69.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tarleton StateTEAM STATUtah Tech

28-70FG25-48

40.0%FG%52.0%

2-183PT8-23

11.0%3PT%35.0%

13-22FT17-23

59.0%FT%74.0%

38Rebounds34

18Offensive Rebounds6

13Assists19

8Turnovers16

10Steals3

2Blocks7

19Fouls16

Player Box Score

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cam McDowell	G	36	10-24	1-6	4-5	3	5	4	0	25
Chris Mpaka	F	27	5-11	0-0	1-4	7	0	0	1	11
Dior Johnson	G	19	5-11	1-4	0-0	2	0	1	0	11
Kaia Isaac	G	29	3-4	0-0	0-0	5	2	2	0	6
Leroy Kelly IV	G	21	1-6	0-4	3-4	4	2	2	0	5
Jordan Mizell	G	20	1-1	0-0	3-5	5	0	1	0	5
Matyas Vrabel	F	7	2-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
DJ Dormu	G	18	1-6	0-2	0-0	2	3	0	0	2
Kade Douglas	G	11	0-2	0-1	2-2	0	1	0	0	2
Ocypher Owens	F	12	0-2	0-1	0-2	4	0	0	1	0

Utah Tech

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ethan Potter	F	33	9-11	0-0	5-7	7	1	0	0	23
Noah Bolanga	G	33	5-7	3-4	3-4	3	3	0	1	16
Chance Trujillo	G	31	4-11	3-8	2-2	3	3	1	1	13
Jusaun Holt	G	34	3-7	1-5	4-4	6	6	1	2	11
Tanner Davis	G	34	2-6	0-3	2-4	10	2	1	1	6
Britton Berrett	G	21	1-3	1-3	0-0	3	2	0	1	3
Dario Domingos	F	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Samuel Ariyibi	F	10	0-2	0-0	1-2	1	2	0	1	1

Advanced Game Stats

69.7Possessions69.7

101.9Offensive Efficiency107.6

107.6Defensive Efficiency101.9

-5.7Net Efficiency5.7

41.4%Effective FG%60.4%

44.1%True Shooting %63.6%

11.4%Turnover Rate23.2%

31.4%Free Throw Rate47.9%

25.7%3-Point Rate47.9%

1.63Assist / Turnover1.19

Game Summary

Utah Tech won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 69.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.