Penn State

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.0%Penn State

67.0%Maryland

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMaryland -5.2

PROJECTED TOTAL151.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMaryland -203

Maryland

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePenn State 73

Projected Total151.1

Projected ScoreMaryland 78

Team Comparison

Penn StateMetricMaryland

42.3MMH Power Index44.1

109.2Offensive Efficiency104.5

117.6Defensive Efficiency113.6

-8.4Net Efficiency-9.1

5.3Strength of Schedule5.2

-20.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.7

67.5Tempo66.7

53.4%Effective FG%48.6%

15.6%Turnover Rate18.8%

25.6%Offensive Rebound %34.0%

34.6%Free Throw Rate38.9%

-5.7Average Margin-6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Penn State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPenn State holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (109.2–104.5), net efficiency (-8.4–-9.1), strength of schedule (5.3–5.2), shooting efficiency (53.4–48.6).

Maryland COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (44.1–42.3), defensive efficiency (113.6–117.6), recent form (-9.7–-20.8).

Final

Penn State

73—96

Maryland

Maryland by 23 • 65.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Penn StateTEAM STATMaryland

25-50FG33-61

50.0%FG%54.0%

9-243PT18-34

38.0%3PT%53.0%

14-21FT12-17

67.0%FT%71.0%

21Rebounds39

4Offensive Rebounds12

12Assists12

7Turnovers11

5Steals5

—Blocks4

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

Penn State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Kayden Mingo	G	34	7-12	2-5	3-4	3	5	1	19
Dominick Stewart	G	32	7-12	3-6	0-0	4	4	0	17
Eli Rice	G	31	4-7	3-6	2-4	2	0	0	13
Josh Reed	F	32	4-6	0-2	2-4	2	1	3	10
Ivan Juric	F	30	1-3	0-1	7-8	1	2	0	9
Freddie Dilione V	G	15	2-7	1-3	0-0	1	0	1	5
Mason Blackwood	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0
Melih Tunca	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0
Saša Ciani	F	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0
Justin Houser	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	0

Maryland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
David Coit	G	39	14-23	9-15	6-8	1	4	0	0	43
Elijah Saunders	F	24	6-11	3-6	1-1	2	0	1	0	16
Darius Adams	G	28	5-9	2-5	2-4	3	3	1	0	14
Andre Mills	G	21	3-6	2-3	1-2	3	0	1	1	9
Solomon Washington	F	28	3-5	0-1	0-0	11	2	2	1	6
Aleks Alston	F	11	1-2	1-1	2-2	3	0	0	2	5
Isaiah Watts	G	24	1-5	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
Collin Metcalf	C	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	0	0
George Turkson Jr.	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Myles Rice	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	0	0
Guillermo Del Pino	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.6Possessions65.6

111.3Offensive Efficiency146.3

146.3Defensive Efficiency111.3

-35.1Net Efficiency35.1

59.0%Effective FG%68.9%

60.9%True Shooting %69.5%

11.1%Turnover Rate16.2%

42.0%Free Throw Rate27.9%

48.0%3-Point Rate55.7%

1.71Assist / Turnover1.09

Game Summary

Maryland won by 23 points. The game played at approximately 65.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.