Air Force

3-29

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.6%Air Force

98.4%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColorado State -26.9

PROJECTED TOTAL144.9

MODEL MONEYLINEColorado State -6150

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAir Force 59

Projected Total144.9

Projected ScoreColorado State 86

Team Comparison

Air ForceMetricColorado State

23MMH Power Index55.4

91.3Offensive Efficiency117.1

118.5Defensive Efficiency109.9

-27.2Net Efficiency7.2

6.2Strength of Schedule0.4

-33.5Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

67.4Tempo64.7

49.0%Effective FG%58.6%

21.9%Turnover Rate18.3%

21.4%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

35.9%Free Throw Rate41.2%

-18.3Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Colorado State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY98.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMColorado State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–23.0), offensive efficiency (117.1–91.3), defensive efficiency (109.9–118.5), net efficiency (7.2–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–0.4).

Final

Air Force

52—81

Colorado State

Colorado State by 29 • 65.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Air ForceTEAM STATColorado State

19-53FG28-54

36.0%FG%52.0%

5-303PT10-24

17.0%3PT%42.0%

9-12FT15-23

75.0%FT%65.0%

30Rebounds37

6Offensive Rebounds7

8Assists17

14Turnovers6

3Steals10

—Blocks4

20Fouls12

Player Box Score

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Kam Sanders	G	26	5-11	0-4	1-2	2	2	2	11
Lucas Hobin	F	30	3-10	1-7	3-3	2	2	1	10
Ethan Greenberg	G	27	3-5	2-4	0-0	2	0	0	8
Kolby Gilles	F	15	2-4	1-2	0-0	2	2	0	5
Eli Robinson	F	27	2-7	0-2	0-0	10	0	0	4
Wesley Celichowski	C	26	1-6	0-5	2-4	4	0	0	4
Justin Hinds	G	16	1-3	0-2	1-1	4	0	0	3
Sam Imade	F	4	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	3
A.J. Patterson	G	18	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	2
Riley Dering	F	3	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	2
Chris Catchings	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0
Elliott Taite	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Pascarelli	G	27	3-5	3-4	2-2	7	1	1	0	11
Jase Butler	G	24	3-6	3-6	2-2	4	3	1	0	11
Brandon Rechsteiner	G	20	4-8	2-5	1-2	3	2	0	0	11
Kyle Jorgensen	F	24	4-6	1-2	0-1	2	4	2	2	9
Jojo McIver	G	20	3-6	1-3	2-2	3	2	4	0	9
Rashaan Mbemba	F	17	3-5	0-0	2-3	7	0	0	1	8
Augustinas Kiudulas	F	15	3-4	0-0	2-5	3	1	0	0	8
Jevin Muniz	G	24	2-6	0-2	3-4	4	4	2	0	7
Carey Booth	F	21	3-6	0-1	1-2	1	0	0	1	7
Jon Mekonnen	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Darnez Slater	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Charlie Dortch	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.3Possessions65.3

79.6Offensive Efficiency124.0

124.0Defensive Efficiency79.6

-44.4Net Efficiency44.4

40.6%Effective FG%61.1%

44.3%True Shooting %62.4%

21.0%Turnover Rate9.4%

22.6%Free Throw Rate42.6%

56.6%3-Point Rate44.4%

0.57Assist / Turnover2.83

Game Summary

Colorado State won by 29 points. The game played at approximately 65.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.