Toledo

19-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.5%Toledo

42.5%Massachusetts

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADToledo -0.2

PROJECTED TOTAL161.7

MODEL MONEYLINEToledo -135

Massachusetts

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreToledo 81

Projected Total161.7

Projected ScoreMassachusetts 81

Team Comparison

ToledoMetricMassachusetts

58.8MMH Power Index51.5

116.0Offensive Efficiency110.3

109.6Defensive Efficiency106.7

6.4Net Efficiency3.6

2.3Strength of Schedule0.9

10.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.2

69.8Tempo72.8

55.1%Effective FG%53.2%

14.6%Turnover Rate17.9%

30.4%Offensive Rebound %33.7%

30.3%Free Throw Rate37.7%

4.5Average Margin2.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Toledo HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMToledo holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (58.8–51.5), offensive efficiency (116.0–110.3), net efficiency (6.4–3.6), strength of schedule (2.3–0.9).

Massachusetts COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.7–109.6), offensive rebounding (33.7–30.4), free throw rate (37.7–30.3).

Final

Toledo

82—84

Massachusetts

Massachusetts by 2 • 70.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ToledoTEAM STATMassachusetts

28-51FG30-61

55.0%FG%49.0%

6-143PT9-22

43.0%3PT%41.0%

20-25FT15-22

80.0%FT%68.0%

27Rebounds35

7Offensive Rebounds15

14Assists19

15Turnovers14

9Steals8

3Blocks1

16Fouls18

Player Box Score

Toledo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Leroy Blyden Jr.	G	36	7-10	2-3	6-6	5	4	2	0	22
Sonny Wilson	G	38	7-14	1-2	1-3	5	7	1	0	16
Austin Parks	C	24	4-5	0-0	6-6	3	1	1	1	14
Sean Craig	F	33	4-8	3-6	1-2	5	0	2	0	12
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	33	4-9	0-3	4-6	2	1	2	0	12
Jaylan Ouwinga	F	23	1-3	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	2	4
Mynor Strong	G	7	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Will James Jr.	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0

Massachusetts

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Leonardo Bettiol	F	33	8-18	0-0	4-4	9	0	0	0	20
Marcus Banks Jr.	G	34	4-11	2-9	5-5	3	2	1	0	15
K'Jei Parker	G	19	4-7	4-6	1-2	0	0	0	0	13
Daniel Hankins-Sanford	F	30	5-7	0-1	2-5	11	3	1	0	12
Jayden Ndjigue	G	30	4-7	1-2	3-4	10	2	2	1	12
Isaiah Placide	G	9	2-3	2-3	0-0	0	2	0	0	6
Danny Carbuccia	G	29	2-6	0-1	0-2	0	9	4	0	4
Luka Damjanac	F	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Dwayne Wimbley Jr.	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dimitri Clerc	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.7Possessions70.7

116.0Offensive Efficiency118.8

118.8Defensive Efficiency116.0

-2.8Net Efficiency2.8

60.8%Effective FG%56.6%

65.2%True Shooting %58.8%

21.2%Turnover Rate19.9%

49.0%Free Throw Rate36.1%

27.5%3-Point Rate36.1%

0.93Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Massachusetts won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 70.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.