Saint Louis

29-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

78.1%Saint Louis

21.9%Duquesne

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Louis -8.5

PROJECTED TOTAL159.0

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Louis -357

Duquesne

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Louis 84

Projected Total159.0

Projected ScoreDuquesne 75

Team Comparison

Saint LouisMetricDuquesne

66.7MMH Power Index50.7

120.8Offensive Efficiency110.6

97.6Defensive Efficiency106.2

23.2Net Efficiency4.4

0.3Strength of Schedule0.6

0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.9

72.2Tempo70.8

59.9%Effective FG%53.4%

17.1%Turnover Rate17.7%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %30.6%

33.9%Free Throw Rate38.2%

16.8Average Margin3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Louis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Louis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (66.7–50.7), offensive efficiency (120.8–110.6), defensive efficiency (97.6–106.2), net efficiency (23.2–4.4).

Duquesne COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.6–0.3), free throw rate (38.2–33.9).

Final

Saint Louis

81—77

Duquesne

Saint Louis by 4 • 76.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint LouisTEAM STATDuquesne

28-57FG23-66

49.0%FG%35.0%

9-203PT8-30

45.0%3PT%27.0%

16-25FT23-31

64.0%FT%74.0%

38Rebounds42

9Offensive Rebounds17

19Assists13

16Turnovers14

10Steals12

4Blocks4

22Fouls18

Player Box Score

Saint Louis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robbie Avila	C	29	5-7	2-4	2-2	5	6	1	0	14
Dion Brown	G	26	6-11	1-4	1-2	6	2	0	0	14
Trey Green	G	26	5-8	4-7	0-0	3	3	4	0	14
Brady Dunlap	F	16	2-5	1-2	6-7	1	0	0	0	11
Kellen Thames	G	16	4-7	0-0	2-6	5	1	0	1	10
Amari McCottry	G	29	4-9	0-0	0-2	7	1	4	0	8
Ishan Sharma	F	16	1-4	1-3	2-2	3	2	0	0	5
Quentin Jones	G	31	1-5	0-0	1-2	5	4	1	3	3
Paul Otieno	F	11	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2

Duquesne

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jimmie Williams	G	33	11-22	4-7	2-2	7	5	4	0	28
Tarence Guinyard	G	33	3-9	1-6	7-10	3	3	2	0	14
David Dixon	F	28	2-3	0-0	5-6	10	2	1	4	9
John Hugley IV	F	12	2-7	1-4	3-4	3	1	0	0	8
Jakub Necas	F	22	1-5	0-1	3-4	7	0	1	0	5
Alex Williams	F	18	1-6	0-3	2-2	3	0	3	0	4
Maximus Edwards	G	16	1-5	1-3	1-3	0	0	0	0	4
Cam Crawford	G	23	1-5	1-4	0-0	4	1	1	0	3
Jake DiMichele	G	15	1-4	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

76.8Possessions76.8

105.5Offensive Efficiency100.3

100.3Defensive Efficiency105.5

5.2Net Efficiency-5.2

57.0%Effective FG%40.9%

58.8%True Shooting %47.7%

21.1%Turnover Rate18.0%

43.9%Free Throw Rate47.0%

35.1%3-Point Rate45.5%

1.19Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

Saint Louis won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 76.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.