Florida State

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

22.0%Florida State

78.0%Miami

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMiami -9.9

PROJECTED TOTAL158.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMiami -355

Miami

26-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida State 74

Projected Total158.9

Projected ScoreMiami 84

Team Comparison

Florida StateMetricMiami

58.7MMH Power Index65.5

111.9Offensive Efficiency117.8

108.5Defensive Efficiency103.0

3.4Net Efficiency14.8

5.7Strength of Schedule3.6

7.6Last 10 Net Efficiency3.6

71.8Tempo69.2

52.4%Effective FG%55.5%

15.2%Turnover Rate16.2%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %37.3%

35.2%Free Throw Rate37.9%

2.4Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Miami HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMiami holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.5–58.7), offensive efficiency (117.8–111.9), defensive efficiency (103.0–108.5), net efficiency (14.8–3.4).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (5.7–3.6), recent form (7.6–3.6), ball security (15.2–16.2).

Final

Florida State

65—63

Miami

Florida State by 2 • 69.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida StateTEAM STATMiami

24-53FG24-57

45.0%FG%42.0%

6-173PT4-16

35.0%3PT%25.0%

11-15FT11-15

73.0%FT%73.0%

30Rebounds35

4Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists15

13Turnovers14

12Steals7

7Blocks4

15Fouls13

Player Box Score

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert McCray V	G	31	7-17	0-2	6-8	4	4	0	3	20
Chauncey Wiggins	F	31	4-5	1-2	1-2	1	0	0	0	10
Martin Somerville	G	21	3-7	2-4	1-1	1	3	4	0	9
Thomas Bassong	F	31	3-5	0-0	2-2	6	0	2	1	8
Kobe MaGee	G	9	2-5	2-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
AJ Swinton	F	16	2-3	1-2	0-0	2	0	2	0	5
Alex Steen	F	22	2-3	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	1	4
Lajae Jones	G	31	1-6	0-2	1-2	9	2	2	2	3
Cam Miles	G	8	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	4	1	0	0

Miami

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Shelton Henderson	F	36	5-8	2-2	6-7	8	2	1	0	18
Malik Reneau	F	33	7-13	0-1	2-4	3	1	1	1	16
Tre Donaldson	G	38	5-14	1-4	0-0	2	5	2	1	11
Ernest Udeh Jr.	C	30	4-4	0-0	2-2	9	1	2	1	10
Tru Washington	G	20	1-6	0-1	1-2	2	1	0	0	3
Noam Dovrat	G	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Dante Allen	G	22	1-8	0-4	0-0	4	3	1	0	2
Timotej Malovec	F	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	1	0
Salih Altuntas	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.1Possessions69.1

94.1Offensive Efficiency91.2

91.2Defensive Efficiency94.1

2.9Net Efficiency-2.9

50.9%Effective FG%45.6%

54.1%True Shooting %49.1%

18.8%Turnover Rate20.3%

28.3%Free Throw Rate26.3%

32.1%3-Point Rate28.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

Florida State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 69.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.