NC State

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.1%NC State

61.9%Clemson

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADClemson -3.8

PROJECTED TOTAL148.9

MODEL MONEYLINEClemson -162

Clemson

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNC State 73

Projected Total148.9

Projected ScoreClemson 76

Team Comparison

NC StateMetricClemson

60.1MMH Power Index59.9

118.4Offensive Efficiency112.6

108.6Defensive Efficiency101.4

9.8Net Efficiency11.2

6.4Strength of Schedule4.6

-11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.7

70.2Tempo63.6

55.1%Effective FG%53.0%

13.1%Turnover Rate14.0%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %27.0%

35.7%Free Throw Rate38.1%

6.9Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–59.9), offensive efficiency (118.4–112.6), strength of schedule (6.4–4.6), shooting efficiency (55.1–53.0).

Clemson COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (101.4–108.6), net efficiency (11.2–9.8), recent form (-4.7–-11.9).

Final

NC State

80—76

Clemson

NC State by 4 • 71.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NC StateTEAM STATClemson

25-57FG26-58

44.0%FG%45.0%

8-233PT9-28

35.0%3PT%32.0%

22-25FT15-24

88.0%FT%63.0%

30Rebounds38

6Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists9

7Turnovers13

7Steals2

1Blocks—

19Fouls17

Player Box Score

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	36	9-12	0-0	4-4	6	0	1	0	22
Darrion Williams	F	39	5-17	3-8	4-4	6	3	1	0	17
Quadir Copeland	G	41	4-10	1-2	7-9	4	6	2	0	16
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	37	3-8	3-7	1-2	4	1	0	1	10
Tre Holloman	G	28	1-6	0-4	4-4	0	1	1	0	6
Matt Able	G	22	2-3	0-1	2-2	6	2	2	0	6
Terrance Arceneaux	G	12	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Musa Sagnia	F	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Clemson

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
RJ Godfrey	F	38	7-9	0-0	2-5	7	1	0	16
Carter Welling	F	34	3-5	0-0	8-12	9	2	0	14
Ace Buckner	G	20	4-7	1-4	3-3	2	1	0	12
Jestin Porter	G	38	3-13	3-8	0-0	4	0	1	9
Dillon Hunter	G	38	2-9	2-8	1-2	1	5	1	7
Butta Johnson	G	23	2-6	2-4	1-2	4	0	0	7
Nick Davidson	F	13	3-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	6
Jake Wahlin	F	17	2-5	1-3	0-0	5	0	0	5
Chase Thompson	F	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.7Possessions71.7

111.6Offensive Efficiency106.0

106.0Defensive Efficiency111.6

5.6Net Efficiency-5.6

50.9%Effective FG%52.6%

58.1%True Shooting %54.8%

10.0%Turnover Rate17.7%

43.9%Free Throw Rate41.4%

40.4%3-Point Rate48.3%

1.86Assist / Turnover0.69

Game Summary

NC State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 71.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.