Northern Illinois

9-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

6.9%Northern Illinois

93.1%Ohio

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOhio -16.0

PROJECTED TOTAL154.3

MODEL MONEYLINEOhio -1349

Ohio

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 69

Projected Total154.3

Projected ScoreOhio 85

Team Comparison

Northern IllinoisMetricOhio

29.2MMH Power Index48

99.7Offensive Efficiency109.7

111.6Defensive Efficiency110.7

-11.9Net Efficiency-1.0

-2.1Strength of Schedule-0.1

-28.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

69.7Tempo71.0

48.5%Effective FG%52.0%

21.3%Turnover Rate15.3%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %28.9%

39.6%Free Throw Rate37.8%

-8.3Average Margin-0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Ohio HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY93.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOhio holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.0–29.2), offensive efficiency (109.7–99.7), defensive efficiency (110.7–111.6), net efficiency (-1.0–-11.9).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.7–28.9), free throw rate (39.6–37.8).

Final

Northern Illinois

77—80

Ohio

Ohio by 3 • 72.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IllinoisTEAM STATOhio

24-53FG27-54

45.0%FG%50.0%

9-203PT8-19

45.0%3PT%42.0%

20-27FT18-25

74.0%FT%72.0%

32Rebounds28

10Offensive Rebounds7

8Assists12

17Turnovers14

3Steals4

1Blocks7

23Fouls22

Player Box Score

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dylan Ducommun	G	31	8-14	4-6	3-4	3	2	0	0	23
Gianni Cobb	G	31	3-7	1-2	6-6	6	1	1	0	13
Makhai Valentine	G	37	3-12	2-5	2-3	4	1	0	1	10
Taj Walters	G	33	2-4	1-2	4-4	4	1	1	0	9
Hassan Washington	F	24	4-5	0-1	1-2	6	0	0	0	9
Daemar Kelly	G	22	2-5	1-3	3-4	3	3	0	0	8
Gustav Winther	F	11	2-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Jaylen Wharton	F	4	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Carlos Coronado	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-2	0	0	0	0	0
Jao Ituka	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Ohio

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jackson Paveletzke	G	38	7-12	0-1	9-12	3	4	1	0	23
Aidan Hadaway	F	36	6-15	2-6	4-5	5	6	1	2	18
JJ Kelly	G	32	8-15	1-3	0-0	9	0	0	3	17
Dior Conners	G	12	3-6	3-6	2-2	1	2	0	0	11
Ajay Sheldon	G	32	1-3	1-2	2-2	2	0	1	0	5
Jalen Breath	F	27	1-2	0-0	1-4	5	0	0	1	3
Ayden Evans	F	11	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	1	1	3
Jesse Burris	G	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kiir Kuany	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.9Possessions72.9

105.6Offensive Efficiency109.7

109.7Defensive Efficiency105.6

-4.1Net Efficiency4.1

53.8%Effective FG%57.4%

58.5%True Shooting %60.7%

23.3%Turnover Rate19.2%

50.9%Free Throw Rate46.3%

37.7%3-Point Rate35.2%

0.47Assist / Turnover0.86

Game Summary

Ohio won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 72.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.