Ball State

12-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

30.8%Ball State

69.2%Central Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCentral Michigan -5.1

PROJECTED TOTAL144.0

MODEL MONEYLINECentral Michigan -225

Central Michigan

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBall State 69

Projected Total144.0

Projected ScoreCentral Michigan 75

Team Comparison

Ball StateMetricCentral Michigan

41.3MMH Power Index44

101.7Offensive Efficiency105.9

104.7Defensive Efficiency111.0

-3.0Net Efficiency-5.1

-3.9Strength of Schedule-0.5

-0.9Last 10 Net Efficiency1.3

66.4Tempo69.3

48.3%Effective FG%52.6%

16.0%Turnover Rate18.3%

26.5%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

33.0%Free Throw Rate32.9%

-2.0Average Margin-3.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Central Michigan HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY69.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCentral Michigan holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.0–41.3), offensive efficiency (105.9–101.7), strength of schedule (-0.5–-3.9), recent form (1.3–-0.9).

Ball State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (104.7–111.0), net efficiency (-3.0–-5.1), ball security (16.0–18.3).

Final

Ball State

68—67

Central Michigan

Ball State by 1 • 59.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Ball StateTEAM STATCentral Michigan

26-62FG25-52

42.0%FG%48.0%

8-253PT12-19

32.0%3PT%63.0%

8-11FT5-10

73.0%FT%50.0%

32Rebounds34

13Offensive Rebounds10

13Assists13

5Turnovers12

8Steals4

6Blocks4

12Fouls12

Player Box Score

Ball State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Armoni Zeigler	G	33	7-14	1-3	2-2	7	4	1	2	17
Devon Barnes	G	31	5-11	5-9	2-3	1	2	3	0	17
Davion Hill	G	28	5-16	2-7	3-3	5	4	2	1	15
Preston Copeland	F	21	3-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	6
Elmore James IV	G	28	2-12	0-6	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
Kayden Fish	F	19	2-3	0-0	0-1	4	0	0	0	4
Cam Denson	F	17	1-1	0-0	1-2	5	0	2	1	3
Mason Jones	F	23	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	1	2

Central Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Logan McIntire	G	32	8-13	5-9	0-0	3	1	1	0	21
Tamario Adley	G	32	7-10	4-5	2-4	8	6	2	1	20
Keenan Garner	F	33	3-7	2-2	2-2	8	0	1	1	10
Nathan Claerbaut	C	32	3-4	0-0	1-2	7	4	0	1	7
Jalen Kampen	G	14	2-3	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	5
Phat Phat Brooks	G	25	2-7	0-0	0-2	2	2	0	0	4
Jaxson Whitaker	G	12	0-4	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Nick Mullen	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Will Ashford	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kayden Nation	F	5	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

59.0Possessions59.0

115.3Offensive Efficiency113.6

113.6Defensive Efficiency115.3

1.7Net Efficiency-1.7

48.4%Effective FG%59.6%

50.6%True Shooting %59.0%

8.4%Turnover Rate20.4%

17.7%Free Throw Rate19.2%

40.3%3-Point Rate36.5%

2.60Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Ball State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 59.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.