Providence

15-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.2%Providence

74.8%Villanova

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVillanova -8.5

PROJECTED TOTAL162.9

MODEL MONEYLINEVillanova -297

Villanova

24-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreProvidence 77

Projected Total162.9

Projected ScoreVillanova 86

Team Comparison

ProvidenceMetricVillanova

54.2MMH Power Index59.4

115.0Offensive Efficiency114.7

113.2Defensive Efficiency105.9

1.8Net Efficiency8.8

4.0Strength of Schedule4.4

-1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.1

74.2Tempo67.3

55.0%Effective FG%53.9%

16.7%Turnover Rate15.0%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

37.3%Free Throw Rate31.4%

1.3Average Margin5.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Villanova HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVillanova holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.4–54.2), defensive efficiency (105.9–113.2), net efficiency (8.8–1.8), strength of schedule (4.4–4.0).

Providence COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–114.7), shooting efficiency (55.0–53.9), free throw rate (37.3–31.4).

Final

Providence

73—75

Villanova

Villanova by 2 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ProvidenceTEAM STATVillanova

24-56FG26-60

43.0%FG%43.0%

14-363PT7-26

39.0%3PT%27.0%

11-15FT16-18

73.0%FT%89.0%

31Rebounds37

5Offensive Rebounds9

16Assists6

9Turnovers7

4Steals6

3Blocks3

17Fouls10

Player Box Score

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bensley Joseph	Guard	40	6-12	4-7	4-4	7	3	1	0	20
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	35	5-11	2-6	6-6	4	2	1	0	18
Justyn Fernandez	G	27	6-13	5-10	0-0	5	4	0	0	17
Jabri Abdur-Rahim	Guard	19	4-6	2-3	0-0	3	0	1	0	10
Jayden Pierre	G	36	1-11	1-9	1-3	0	7	0	0	4
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	33	1-1	0-0	0-2	8	0	0	3	2
Eli DeLaurier	F	7	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Rich Barron	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Villanova

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Eric Dixon	Forward	37	7-16	2-7	7-8	8	1	1	0	23
Jhamir Brickus	Guard	33	7-14	2-6	2-2	4	4	1	0	18
Wooga Poplar	Guard	39	5-11	2-6	3-4	13	0	0	1	15
Jordan Longino	Guard	35	5-9	1-4	2-2	0	0	1	0	13
Tyler Perkins	G	29	2-6	0-3	0-0	4	1	3	1	4
Enoch Boakye	Forward	13	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Josiah Moseley	F	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Kris Parker	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

109.1Offensive Efficiency112.1

112.1Defensive Efficiency109.1

-3.0Net Efficiency3.0

55.4%Effective FG%49.2%

57.8%True Shooting %54.7%

13.4%Turnover Rate10.5%

26.8%Free Throw Rate30.0%

64.3%3-Point Rate43.3%

1.78Assist / Turnover0.86

Game Summary

Villanova won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.