Southern Illinois

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.4%Southern Illinois

49.6%Valparaiso

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADValparaiso -0.5

PROJECTED TOTAL143.3

MODEL MONEYLINESouthern Illinois -102

Valparaiso

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 71

Projected Total143.3

Projected ScoreValparaiso 72

Team Comparison

Southern IllinoisMetricValparaiso

54.6MMH Power Index49.9

103.4Offensive Efficiency106.6

98.5Defensive Efficiency105.8

4.9Net Efficiency0.8

1.6Strength of Schedule0.3

7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

70.6Tempo67.5

49.5%Effective FG%48.7%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.6%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

32.3%Free Throw Rate40.0%

3.4Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southern Illinois HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouthern Illinois holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.6–49.9), defensive efficiency (98.5–105.8), net efficiency (4.9–0.8), strength of schedule (1.6–0.3).

Valparaiso COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (106.6–103.4), ball security (15.6–17.0), offensive rebounding (32.4–31.1).

Final

Southern Illinois

63—69

Valparaiso

Valparaiso by 6 • 63.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern IllinoisTEAM STATValparaiso

21-51FG21-43

41.0%FG%49.0%

3-143PT7-16

21.0%3PT%44.0%

18-30FT20-30

60.0%FT%67.0%

35Rebounds31

12Offensive Rebounds4

11Assists14

11Turnovers10

6Steals6

—Blocks3

24Fouls22

Player Box Score

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jalen Haynes	G	37	4-14	0-4	9-11	5	5	1	17
Drew Steffe	G	35	5-10	1-5	3-4	3	1	0	14
Rolyns Aligbe	F	27	4-7	1-1	1-3	3	1	2	10
Prince Aligbe	F	27	4-8	0-0	2-4	8	0	0	10
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	27	2-6	0-2	1-3	4	4	3	5
Caden Hawkins	G	9	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	3
Jorge Moreno	F	10	1-2	0-0	0-1	3	0	0	2
Davion Sykes	G	10	0-1	0-0	2-4	1	0	0	2
Max Pikaar	F	18	0-1	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	0

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justus McNair	G	19	6-8	4-6	1-2	1	1	0	0	17
Brody Whitaker	G	21	1-4	1-1	9-9	3	0	1	0	12
Isaiah Barnes	G	16	3-5	2-2	0-2	4	0	0	0	8
Shon Tupuola	C	27	3-3	0-0	0-0	5	1	1	2	6
Owen Dease	F	25	2-7	0-2	2-4	4	0	0	1	6
Rakim Chaney	G	26	1-5	0-1	3-6	2	6	0	0	5
JT Pettigrew	F	24	1-5	0-2	3-4	4	1	0	0	5
Tucker Tornatta	C	10	1-1	0-0	2-3	1	1	0	0	4
Carter Hopoi	F	3	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Mark Brown Jr.	G	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	2	2	0	2
Sader Servilus	G	16	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	2	2	0	0
Kyonte Thomas	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.8Possessions63.8

98.7Offensive Efficiency108.2

108.2Defensive Efficiency98.7

-9.4Net Efficiency9.4

44.1%Effective FG%57.0%

48.3%True Shooting %60.3%

17.1%Turnover Rate15.8%

58.8%Free Throw Rate69.8%

27.5%3-Point Rate37.2%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

Valparaiso won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 63.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.