Northern Iowa

23-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

55.9%Northern Iowa

44.1%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -0.3

PROJECTED TOTAL136.0

MODEL MONEYLINENorthern Iowa -127

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Iowa 68

Projected Total136.0

Projected ScoreIllinois State 68

Team Comparison

Northern IowaMetricIllinois State

61MMH Power Index54.3

108.4Offensive Efficiency110.6

96.4Defensive Efficiency101.4

12.0Net Efficiency9.2

2.2Strength of Schedule1.0

13.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

64.1Tempo67.5

54.6%Effective FG%54.3%

14.4%Turnover Rate16.8%

21.9%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

26.2%Free Throw Rate32.0%

7.7Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northern Iowa HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthern Iowa holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (61.0–54.3), defensive efficiency (96.4–101.4), net efficiency (12.0–9.2), strength of schedule (2.2–1.0).

Illinois State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.6–108.4), offensive rebounding (28.3–21.9), free throw rate (32.0–26.2).

Final

Northern Iowa

54—59

Illinois State

Illinois State by 5 • 64.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IowaTEAM STATIllinois State

20-57FG18-48

35.0%FG%38.0%

3-183PT7-25

17.0%3PT%28.0%

11-14FT16-18

79.0%FT%89.0%

29Rebounds42

7Offensive Rebounds10

4Assists6

9Turnovers17

5Steals5

3Blocks3

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

Northern Iowa

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ben Schwieger	F	31	5-10	0-1	5-6	4	0	1	0	15
Leon Bond III	F	33	4-13	2-6	0-0	6	0	1	1	10
Will Hornseth	F	28	5-12	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	2	10
Trey Campbell	G	33	2-7	0-1	5-6	5	2	2	0	9
RJ Taylor	G	13	3-4	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Max Weisbrod	G	27	1-5	1-5	0-0	1	1	0	0	3
Geon Hutchins	G	14	0-1	0-1	1-2	2	0	1	0	1
Kyle Pock	F	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ismael Diouf	F	10	0-3	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Boden Skunberg	G	33	7-11	6-9	0-0	8	1	0	0	20
Ty'Reek Coleman	G	21	2-3	0-1	4-4	4	1	1	0	8
Chase Walker	F	25	1-5	0-0	5-5	3	1	2	1	7
Johnny Kinziger	G	32	2-9	0-5	2-2	3	2	1	0	6
Mason Klabo	G	11	2-4	0-1	2-2	4	0	0	0	6
Landon Wolf	G	21	2-2	1-1	0-0	7	0	1	0	5
Ty Pence	G	20	1-5	0-2	2-2	4	1	0	0	4
Landon Moore	G	14	1-4	0-3	1-2	2	0	0	0	3
Brandon Lieb	F	13	0-2	0-0	0-1	3	0	0	2	0
Jack Daugherty	F	10	0-3	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.7Possessions64.7

83.5Offensive Efficiency91.2

91.2Defensive Efficiency83.5

-7.7Net Efficiency7.7

37.7%Effective FG%44.8%

42.4%True Shooting %52.2%

13.7%Turnover Rate26.8%

24.6%Free Throw Rate37.5%

31.6%3-Point Rate52.1%

0.44Assist / Turnover0.35

Game Summary

Illinois State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 64.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.