Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.3%Murray State

42.7%Drake

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -0.7

PROJECTED TOTAL160.2

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -134

Drake

14-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 80

Projected Total160.2

Projected ScoreDrake 80

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricDrake

53.6MMH Power Index46.4

115.0Offensive Efficiency109.5

111.0Defensive Efficiency109.1

4.0Net Efficiency0.4

3.5Strength of Schedule0.3

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-11.3

72.3Tempo68.6

54.0%Effective FG%52.2%

16.3%Turnover Rate14.9%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %27.2%

39.1%Free Throw Rate34.4%

2.9Average Margin0.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–46.4), offensive efficiency (115.0–109.5), net efficiency (4.0–0.4), strength of schedule (3.5–0.3).

Drake COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (109.1–111.0), ball security (14.9–16.3).

Final

Murray State

90—101

Drake

Drake by 11 • 81.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATDrake

31-68FG32-64

46.0%FG%50.0%

7-323PT5-12

22.0%3PT%42.0%

21-30FT32-41

70.0%FT%78.0%

37Rebounds45

11Offensive Rebounds11

12Assists9

11Turnovers9

5Steals8

3Blocks3

28Fouls23

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Javon Jackson	G	26	6-16	1-6	7-10	3	2	2	0	20
Roman Domon	G	28	5-9	3-5	6-9	10	0	0	2	19
JJ Traynor	F	28	6-9	0-3	0-0	3	0	0	1	12
Brock Vice	F	8	4-5	1-2	3-3	4	1	0	0	12
Brayden Shorter	G	16	4-6	1-3	0-1	2	0	0	0	9
Fred King	C	11	4-6	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	8
Layne Taylor	G	26	2-8	1-6	0-0	2	3	1	0	5
Mason Miller	F	25	0-2	0-2	4-4	6	0	0	0	4
Mathis Courbon	G	14	0-4	0-3	1-2	1	2	0	0	1
KJ Tenner	G	14	0-2	0-1	0-1	1	3	0	0	0
Dylan Anderson	C	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	0

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Quinn	G	38	14-25	0-1	6-10	6	2	3	0	34
Owen Larson	G	29	7-13	1-2	7-8	6	2	1	0	22
Andrew Alia	G	37	3-5	2-2	4-4	5	1	0	0	12
Jaehshon Thomas	G	16	2-7	0-1	7-8	5	0	0	0	11
Isaiah Carr	F	11	1-2	0-0	6-6	5	1	1	3	8
Braden Appelhans	G	9	2-3	2-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Okku Federiko	F	21	2-4	0-0	1-3	6	2	0	0	5
Eli Shetlar	G	30	1-3	0-2	1-2	5	1	2	0	3
Griffen Goodbary	F	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

81.9Possessions81.9

109.9Offensive Efficiency123.3

123.3Defensive Efficiency109.9

-13.4Net Efficiency13.4

50.7%Effective FG%53.9%

54.7%True Shooting %60.5%

13.4%Turnover Rate11.0%

44.1%Free Throw Rate64.1%

47.1%3-Point Rate18.8%

1.09Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Drake won by 11 points. The game played at approximately 81.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.