Colgate

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.1%Colgate

60.9%American University

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAmerican University -4.2

PROJECTED TOTAL150.1

MODEL MONEYLINEAmerican University -156

American University

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreColgate 73

Projected Total150.1

Projected ScoreAmerican University 77

Team Comparison

ColgateMetricAmerican University

48.8MMH Power Index48.2

111.7Offensive Efficiency110.6

109.0Defensive Efficiency105.8

2.7Net Efficiency4.8

-2.0Strength of Schedule-4.3

-0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency2.2

68.4Tempo67.5

54.5%Effective FG%52.6%

14.8%Turnover Rate15.7%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %28.0%

30.0%Free Throw Rate30.1%

1.8Average Margin3.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

American University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAmerican University holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (105.8–109.0), net efficiency (4.8–2.7), recent form (2.2–-0.3), offensive rebounding (28.0–26.9).

Colgate COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (48.8–48.2), offensive efficiency (111.7–110.6), strength of schedule (-2.0–-4.3).

Final

Colgate

66—70

American University

American University by 4 • 67.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ColgateTEAM STATAmerican University

23-52FG25-53

44.0%FG%47.0%

5-183PT8-21

28.0%3PT%38.0%

15-23FT12-14

65.0%FT%86.0%

27Rebounds38

9Offensive Rebounds11

9Assists12

13Turnovers19

8Steals7

4Blocks2

14Fouls19

Player Box Score

Colgate

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Cox	G	37	8-12	1-1	4-6	4	3	0	1	21
Josh Ahayere	G	23	5-5	2-2	2-2	2	1	0	0	14
Andrew Alekseyenko	F	32	6-12	1-3	0-1	6	1	2	1	13
Sam Wright	F	28	3-9	1-4	4-6	5	0	2	0	11
Ethan Brown	F	6	1-2	0-0	2-2	1	0	1	0	4
Ayomi Odetoyinbo	F	10	0-0	0-0	2-2	3	0	0	1	2
Ben Tweedy	G	31	0-4	0-3	1-4	1	3	0	0	1
Kyle Carlesimo	G	22	0-7	0-5	0-0	2	1	3	0	0
Cooper Wright	F	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Wyatt Nausadis	G	26	5-11	3-6	0-1	0	1	2	0	13
Geoff Sprouse	G	28	4-7	4-6	0-0	4	0	1	0	12
Madden Collins	G	22	4-6	0-0	4-4	12	4	1	1	12
Greg Jones	F	33	3-10	1-3	3-4	11	3	2	0	10
Matt Mayock	F	30	2-7	0-3	5-5	5	0	0	0	9
Julen Iturbe	F	25	4-7	0-2	0-0	2	4	0	0	8
Chris Eagan	F	13	3-4	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	6
Kade Sebastian	G	20	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Luke Brown	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.3Possessions67.3

98.1Offensive Efficiency104.0

104.0Defensive Efficiency98.1

-5.9Net Efficiency5.9

49.0%Effective FG%54.7%

52.4%True Shooting %58.7%

19.4%Turnover Rate28.1%

44.2%Free Throw Rate26.4%

34.6%3-Point Rate39.6%

0.69Assist / Turnover0.63

Game Summary

American University won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 67.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.