East Tennessee State

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

68.4%East Tennessee State

31.6%Chattanooga

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADEast Tennessee State -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINEEast Tennessee State -216

Chattanooga

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreEast Tennessee State 78

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScoreChattanooga 74

Team Comparison

East Tennessee StateMetricChattanooga

57.4MMH Power Index45.9

115.1Offensive Efficiency112.7

102.8Defensive Efficiency110.5

12.3Net Efficiency2.2

-1.6Strength of Schedule-4.4

3.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

67.4Tempo68.1

55.4%Effective FG%55.1%

15.1%Turnover Rate14.1%

28.8%Offensive Rebound %23.5%

35.0%Free Throw Rate29.2%

8.3Average Margin1.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

East Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY68.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMEast Tennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.4–45.9), offensive efficiency (115.1–112.7), defensive efficiency (102.8–110.5), net efficiency (12.3–2.2).

Chattanooga COUNTERS WITHball security (14.1–15.1).

Final

East Tennessee State

67—66

Chattanooga

East Tennessee State by 1 • 67.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

East Tennessee StateTEAM STATChattanooga

28-66FG23-53

42.0%FG%43.0%

3-193PT10-29

16.0%3PT%34.0%

8-11FT10-11

73.0%FT%91.0%

38Rebounds31

13Offensive Rebounds6

11Assists13

10Turnovers14

11Steals8

3Blocks6

14Fouls17

Player Box Score

East Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cam Morris III	F	31	9-14	0-0	3-4	11	1	2	1	21
Brian Taylor II	G	35	6-19	1-9	2-3	1	3	3	0	15
Blake Barkley	F	31	4-9	0-2	2-2	5	2	1	0	10
Gabe Sisk	G	17	4-6	0-0	1-1	6	0	3	0	9
Maki Johnson	G	16	2-3	2-3	0-0	1	0	0	0	6
Allen Strothers	G	27	1-5	0-1	0-1	3	3	2	0	2
Jordan McCullum	F	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	2
Isaiah Sutherland	F	9	1-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jaylen Smith	G	19	0-5	0-2	0-0	3	2	0	1	0

Chattanooga

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brennan Watkins	G	32	6-8	5-7	2-2	4	2	2	0	19
Jordan Frison	G	35	5-9	2-4	2-2	4	4	0	0	14
Tate Darner	G	34	6-13	1-8	1-1	2	4	4	0	14
Collin Mulholland	F	22	3-9	0-1	5-6	3	1	0	1	11
Billy Smith	G	17	2-7	2-7	0-0	5	0	0	0	6
Makai Richards	C	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	2
Josh Bowman	F	25	0-2	0-0	0-0	5	2	2	4	0
Jikari Johnson	G	10	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Houston Holland	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Teddy Washington Jr.	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Parker Robison	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.2Possessions67.2

99.7Offensive Efficiency98.2

98.2Defensive Efficiency99.7

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

44.7%Effective FG%52.8%

47.0%True Shooting %56.7%

14.7%Turnover Rate21.1%

16.7%Free Throw Rate20.8%

28.8%3-Point Rate54.7%

1.10Assist / Turnover0.93

Game Summary

East Tennessee State won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 67.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Effective FG%, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.