Troy

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.5%Troy

43.5%Old Dominion

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTroy -1.9

PROJECTED TOTAL156.0

MODEL MONEYLINETroy -130

Old Dominion

12-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTroy 79

Projected Total156.0

Projected ScoreOld Dominion 77

Team Comparison

TroyMetricOld Dominion

54.1MMH Power Index47.2

112.6Offensive Efficiency107.4

103.9Defensive Efficiency109.8

8.7Net Efficiency-2.4

-2.2Strength of Schedule-0.1

2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency4.1

70.4Tempo70.9

52.1%Effective FG%50.9%

17.1%Turnover Rate15.4%

35.3%Offensive Rebound %26.1%

36.8%Free Throw Rate35.2%

6.1Average Margin-1.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Troy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTroy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–47.2), offensive efficiency (112.6–107.4), defensive efficiency (103.9–109.8), net efficiency (8.7–-2.4).

Old Dominion COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.1–-2.2), recent form (4.1–2.0), ball security (15.4–17.1).

Final

Troy

83—77

Old Dominion

Troy by 6 • 81.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

TroyTEAM STATOld Dominion

24-65FG28-64

37.0%FG%44.0%

6-263PT3-18

23.0%3PT%17.0%

29-34FT18-25

85.0%FT%72.0%

47Rebounds37

12Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists9

13Turnovers12

9Steals7

—Blocks2

17Fouls24

Player Box Score

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Theo Seng	F	43	6-12	2-6	10-10	14	0	2	24
Victor Valdes	F	37	3-15	1-5	14-18	2	2	1	21
Thomas Dowd	F	44	5-9	0-2	2-2	15	1	0	12
Cooper Campbell	G	43	4-16	1-6	3-4	3	5	4	12
Cobi Campbell	G	41	2-6	2-5	0-0	1	2	1	6
Jerrell Bellamy	C	13	3-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	6
Kerrington Kiel	F	18	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	2
Austin Cross	G	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0

Old Dominion

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
KC Shaw	G	49	14-22	0-0	6-10	4	1	2	1	34
Jordan Battle	G	44	4-12	2-6	6-6	9	0	2	0	16
LJ Thomas	G	31	4-8	1-1	3-4	4	3	0	0	12
Caelum Swanton-Rodger	F	31	4-6	0-0	0-0	5	0	0	1	8
Zacch Wiggins	G	16	1-4	0-1	2-2	1	2	0	0	4
Jared Turner	F	29	1-4	0-3	0-1	6	1	1	0	2
Robert Davis Jr.	G	43	0-8	0-7	1-2	3	2	2	0	1
Drew McKenna	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

81.6Possessions81.6

101.7Offensive Efficiency94.4

94.4Defensive Efficiency101.7

7.4Net Efficiency-7.4

41.5%Effective FG%46.1%

51.1%True Shooting %50.7%

15.8%Turnover Rate14.8%

52.3%Free Throw Rate39.1%

40.0%3-Point Rate28.1%

0.85Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

Troy won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 81.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.