Fresno State

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

8.6%Fresno State

91.4%New Mexico

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico -15.9

PROJECTED TOTAL150.5

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico -1063

New Mexico

26-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFresno State 67

Projected Total150.5

Projected ScoreNew Mexico 83

Team Comparison

Fresno StateMetricNew Mexico

47.1MMH Power Index63.7

104.9Offensive Efficiency114.8

104.9Defensive Efficiency100.2

0.0Net Efficiency14.6

1.5Strength of Schedule2.0

-6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency8.3

69.4Tempo70.7

51.3%Effective FG%53.7%

18.2%Turnover Rate14.8%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

35.5%Free Throw Rate36.5%

0.0Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY91.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

11–0

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (63.7–47.1), offensive efficiency (114.8–104.9), defensive efficiency (100.2–104.9), net efficiency (14.6–0.0).

Final

Fresno State

74—83

New Mexico

New Mexico by 9 • 78.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Fresno StateTEAM STATNew Mexico

21-54FG32-75

39.0%FG%43.0%

10-293PT10-35

34.0%3PT%29.0%

22-26FT9-15

85.0%FT%60.0%

43Rebounds39

10Offensive Rebounds13

12Assists18

22Turnovers10

2Steals18

5Blocks3

16Fouls24

Player Box Score

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
DeShawn Gory	F	37	12-19	4-6	3-4	14	5	0	0	31
Jake Heidbreder	G	40	4-15	4-10	5-5	4	2	1	1	17
Bastien Rieber	G	24	1-6	1-5	7-9	3	2	0	1	10
David Douglas Jr.	G	29	1-5	0-3	3-4	4	0	0	1	5
Cameron Faas	G	13	2-5	1-4	0-0	5	1	0	0	5
Wilson Jacques	C	32	0-1	0-0	4-4	8	1	0	2	4
Jac Mani	F	8	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
DJ Stickman	G	17	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	0

New Mexico

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jake Hall	G	30	5-11	3-7	3-4	6	1	2	0	16
Uriah Tenette	G	28	4-12	2-6	5-5	4	4	4	0	15
Tomislav Buljan	F	31	6-10	0-0	0-1	10	1	3	1	12
Deyton Albury	G	22	5-7	1-1	0-2	4	2	2	0	11
Luke Haupt	G	31	4-10	0-3	1-3	4	6	5	1	9
Antonio Chol	F	27	3-11	2-10	0-0	3	1	0	0	8
Tajavis Miller	G	22	3-9	2-6	0-0	3	2	1	1	8
JT Rock	C	8	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Milos Vicentic	F	1	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

78.8Possessions78.8

93.9Offensive Efficiency105.3

105.3Defensive Efficiency93.9

-11.4Net Efficiency11.4

48.1%Effective FG%49.3%

55.8%True Shooting %50.5%

28.1%Turnover Rate12.6%

48.1%Free Throw Rate20.0%

53.7%3-Point Rate46.7%

0.55Assist / Turnover1.80

Game Summary

New Mexico won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 78.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.