Northwestern

15-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.0%Northwestern

43.0%USC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUSC -0.3

PROJECTED TOTAL153.2

MODEL MONEYLINENorthwestern -133

USC

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern 76

Projected Total153.2

Projected ScoreUSC 77

Team Comparison

NorthwesternMetricUSC

55.4MMH Power Index48.3

111.6Offensive Efficiency108.5

109.8Defensive Efficiency107.6

1.8Net Efficiency0.9

5.6Strength of Schedule2.5

-2.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.0

65.6Tempo72.4

51.9%Effective FG%50.7%

13.0%Turnover Rate17.2%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

34.8%Free Throw Rate45.3%

1.2Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Northwestern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorthwestern holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–48.3), offensive efficiency (111.6–108.5), net efficiency (1.8–0.9), strength of schedule (5.6–2.5).

USC COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (107.6–109.8), offensive rebounding (33.2–28.2), free throw rate (45.3–34.8).

Final

Northwestern

74—68

USC

Northwestern by 6 • 67.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NorthwesternTEAM STATUSC

28-62FG20-52

45.0%FG%38.0%

3-153PT2-13

20.0%3PT%15.0%

15-18FT26-43

83.0%FT%60.0%

33Rebounds39

8Offensive Rebounds12

22Assists13

6Turnovers6

3Steals3

1Blocks3

25Fouls19

Player Box Score

Northwestern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Martinelli	F	35	8-20	1-3	5-6	5	5	1	0	22
Jake West	G	34	3-7	1-2	4-4	3	5	0	0	11
Tyler Kropp	F	28	5-6	0-0	1-1	9	1	0	0	11
Max Green	G	31	4-8	1-4	0-0	3	3	1	0	9
Arrinten Page	F	14	3-7	0-1	2-2	1	1	0	0	8
Jayden Reid	G	17	2-5	0-0	3-4	1	5	1	0	7
Tre Singleton	F	14	3-6	0-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	6
Jordan Clayton	G	17	0-2	0-2	0-1	3	0	0	0	0
Angelo Ciaravino	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Justin Mullins	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jordan Marsh	G	22	5-10	0-2	9-9	0	1	0	0	19
Ezra Ausar	F	33	4-7	0-0	9-14	5	3	1	0	17
Chad Baker-Mazara	G	13	4-6	2-3	4-4	2	2	0	0	14
Jacob Cofie	F	35	4-7	0-1	1-6	12	1	0	1	9
Alijah Arenas	G	29	3-15	0-6	2-6	2	2	0	0	8
Jerry Easter II	G	20	0-3	0-0	1-2	6	1	0	1	1
Kam Woods	G	24	0-3	0-0	0-2	5	3	2	0	0
Gabe Dynes	C	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	1	0
Jaden Brownell	F	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Terrance Williams II	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.5Possessions67.5

109.6Offensive Efficiency100.7

100.7Defensive Efficiency109.6

8.9Net Efficiency-8.9

47.6%Effective FG%40.4%

52.4%True Shooting %46.9%

8.8%Turnover Rate9.0%

29.0%Free Throw Rate82.7%

24.2%3-Point Rate25.0%

3.67Assist / Turnover2.17

Game Summary

Northwestern won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 67.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.