San Diego State

22-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

38.3%San Diego State

61.7%Grand Canyon

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADGrand Canyon -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL147.5

MODEL MONEYLINEGrand Canyon -161

Grand Canyon

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego State 72

Projected Total147.5

Projected ScoreGrand Canyon 75

Team Comparison

San Diego StateMetricGrand Canyon

60.1MMH Power Index59.8

110.3Offensive Efficiency109.2

99.3Defensive Efficiency99.1

11.0Net Efficiency10.1

3.8Strength of Schedule2.0

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency9.7

70.8Tempo69.3

53.2%Effective FG%52.1%

17.2%Turnover Rate17.6%

30.8%Offensive Rebound %31.2%

39.6%Free Throw Rate41.0%

7.8Average Margin7.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

San Diego State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSan Diego State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–59.8), offensive efficiency (110.3–109.2), net efficiency (11.0–10.1), strength of schedule (3.8–2.0).

Grand Canyon COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (99.1–99.3), recent form (9.7–0.4), offensive rebounding (31.2–30.8).

Final

San Diego State

69—70

Grand Canyon

Grand Canyon by 1 • 70.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San Diego StateTEAM STATGrand Canyon

25-62FG19-50

40.0%FG%38.0%

3-183PT10-21

17.0%3PT%48.0%

16-19FT22-28

84.0%FT%79.0%

37Rebounds36

11Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists12

10Turnovers17

11Steals7

6Blocks6

20Fouls18

Player Box Score

San Diego State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elzie Harrington	G	26	7-12	1-3	1-1	2	1	3	0	16
Reese Dixon-Waters	G	29	4-12	0-3	4-4	2	0	0	0	12
BJ Davis	G	20	3-6	1-2	4-6	6	1	0	0	11
Taj DeGourville	G	22	2-6	1-2	3-4	2	1	1	1	8
Tae Simmons	F	21	3-4	0-0	2-2	9	0	1	0	8
Pharaoh Compton	F	14	4-5	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	8
Miles Byrd	G	32	2-10	0-6	2-2	8	3	4	3	6
Miles Heide	F	14	0-4	0-0	0-0	4	2	1	2	0
Jeremiah Oden	F	13	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Sean Newman Jr.	G	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Grand Canyon

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaden Henley	G	29	5-11	1-4	6-7	7	2	0	0	17
Makaih Williams	G	27	3-9	2-4	9-10	4	1	2	0	17
Brian Moore Jr.	G	35	5-12	2-2	0-0	1	3	1	0	12
Nana Owusu-Anane	F	34	3-8	3-5	0-0	7	3	1	1	9
Caleb Shaw	G	23	2-5	2-4	0-0	5	2	2	1	6
Efe Demirel	C	19	1-2	0-0	3-5	0	0	0	1	5
Dennis Evans	C	20	0-0	0-0	4-6	5	0	1	2	4
Dusty Stromer	G	8	0-3	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	1	0
Wilhelm Breidenbach	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.7Possessions70.7

97.6Offensive Efficiency99.0

99.0Defensive Efficiency97.6

-1.4Net Efficiency1.4

42.7%Effective FG%48.0%

48.6%True Shooting %55.3%

14.3%Turnover Rate23.8%

30.6%Free Throw Rate56.0%

29.0%3-Point Rate42.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

Grand Canyon won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 70.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.