South Alabama

21-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.2%South Alabama

64.8%James Madison

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJames Madison -4.0

PROJECTED TOTAL147.5

MODEL MONEYLINEJames Madison -184

James Madison

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Alabama 72

Projected Total147.5

Projected ScoreJames Madison 76

Team Comparison

South AlabamaMetricJames Madison

51.4MMH Power Index52.3

110.3Offensive Efficiency110.5

103.9Defensive Efficiency109.4

6.4Net Efficiency1.1

-3.7Strength of Schedule1.2

3.4Last 10 Net Efficiency7.9

67.4Tempo67.5

53.2%Effective FG%53.3%

12.8%Turnover Rate17.3%

24.9%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

39.8%Free Throw Rate36.6%

4.3Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

James Madison HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMJames Madison holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.3–51.4), offensive efficiency (110.5–110.3), strength of schedule (1.2–-3.7), recent form (7.9–3.4).

South Alabama COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.9–109.4), net efficiency (6.4–1.1), ball security (12.8–17.3).

Final

South Alabama

90—83

James Madison

South Alabama by 7 • 75.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South AlabamaTEAM STATJames Madison

28-63FG24-55

44.0%FG%44.0%

10-263PT16-42

38.0%3PT%38.0%

24-39FT19-25

62.0%FT%76.0%

38Rebounds38

10Offensive Rebounds7

10Assists18

3Turnovers17

13Steals3

2Blocks4

16Fouls27

Player Box Score

South Alabama

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Adam Olsen	F	38	8-16	4-10	6-7	3	3	2	0	26
JJ Wheat	G	29	5-8	1-1	6-8	3	3	3	0	17
Chaze Harris	G	21	5-9	0-0	5-11	9	3	3	0	15
Jayden Cooper	G	28	3-7	2-3	6-8	5	0	0	0	14
Randy Brady	F	18	3-8	2-5	1-3	3	1	1	0	9
Stephen Williams	F	22	3-7	0-0	0-0	9	0	0	1	6
Hantz Louis-Jeune	G	28	1-5	1-5	0-2	1	0	3	0	3
John Broom	G	14	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	1	1	0
Brian Hawthorne	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

James Madison

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin McBride	F	33	9-12	5-6	7-9	12	1	0	0	30
Cliff Davis	G	36	4-16	4-16	1-2	4	6	0	0	13
Preston Fowler	F	28	3-8	3-7	3-3	7	3	0	0	12
Bradley Douglas	G	32	3-9	3-9	1-2	0	6	1	0	10
Eddie Ricks III	F	20	1-2	0-1	5-7	6	2	1	1	7
Kose Egbule	G	9	1-2	1-2	2-2	0	0	0	0	5
Gabe Newhof	F	19	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	2	2
Christian Brown	F	14	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	2
Eli Wilborn	F	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Paul Jones III	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.7Possessions75.7

118.9Offensive Efficiency109.6

109.6Defensive Efficiency118.9

9.2Net Efficiency-9.2

52.4%Effective FG%58.2%

55.2%True Shooting %62.1%

4.0%Turnover Rate22.1%

61.9%Free Throw Rate45.5%

41.3%3-Point Rate76.4%

3.33Assist / Turnover1.06

Game Summary

South Alabama won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 75.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.