NJIT

16-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.7%NJIT

94.3%UMBC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -18.5

PROJECTED TOTAL139.0

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -1654

UMBC

24-8

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNJIT 60

Projected Total139.0

Projected ScoreUMBC 79

Team Comparison

NJITMetricUMBC

38.5MMH Power Index59.1

98.1Offensive Efficiency113.0

107.2Defensive Efficiency99.0

-9.1Net Efficiency14.0

-0.5Strength of Schedule-5.6

-5.8Last 10 Net Efficiency24.7

68.3Tempo65.5

47.0%Effective FG%54.3%

16.9%Turnover Rate14.3%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %25.2%

34.0%Free Throw Rate34.1%

-6.2Average Margin9.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–38.5), offensive efficiency (113.0–98.1), defensive efficiency (99.0–107.2), net efficiency (14.0–-9.1).

NJIT COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.5–-5.6), offensive rebounding (26.9–25.2).

Final

NJIT

74—87

UMBC

UMBC by 13 • 70.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NJITTEAM STATUMBC

28-64FG29-56

44.0%FG%52.0%

6-203PT6-20

30.0%3PT%30.0%

12-23FT23-30

52.0%FT%77.0%

40Rebounds34

15Offensive Rebounds6

7Assists9

10Turnovers6

2Steals3

2Blocks—

22Fouls18

Player Box Score

NJIT

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sebastian Robinson	G	32	8-17	1-2	2-3	1	2	1	0	19
Melvyn Ebonkoli	F	29	7-9	0-0	3-6	6	1	0	0	17
David Bolden	G	32	3-10	2-6	3-7	5	0	1	0	11
John Kelly	F	27	4-9	1-3	2-4	4	1	0	0	11
Ari Fulton	G	30	3-8	1-4	2-2	8	1	0	1	9
Quentin Duncan	G	10	2-4	1-3	0-1	3	0	0	0	5
Malachi Arrington	C	4	1-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Rocco Awad	G	20	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Jordan Rogers	F	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	1	0
Jeffrey Akintolu	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Cameron Piggee	G	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Ace Valentine	G	36	7-10	1-3	4-5	4	2	1	19
Jah'Likai King	G	35	4-8	2-5	7-10	4	1	1	17
Josh Odunowo	F	26	4-8	0-0	4-6	5	1	0	12
Caden Diggs	F	24	6-12	0-2	0-0	5	1	1	12
DJ Armstrong Jr.	G	34	2-5	2-4	4-4	3	2	0	10
Daylon Dickerson	F	11	3-3	0-0	4-4	3	0	0	10
Jose Roberto Tanchyn	F	10	2-5	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	5
Riley Jacobs	F	11	1-3	0-0	0-1	5	1	0	2
Cougar Downing	G	10	0-2	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0
Paul Greene	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.1Possessions70.1

105.6Offensive Efficiency124.1

124.1Defensive Efficiency105.6

-18.5Net Efficiency18.5

48.4%Effective FG%57.1%

49.4%True Shooting %61.9%

14.3%Turnover Rate8.5%

35.9%Free Throw Rate53.6%

31.3%3-Point Rate35.7%

0.70Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

UMBC won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 70.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.