Niagara

8-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.9%Niagara

89.1%Fairfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFairfield -14.3

PROJECTED TOTAL140.1

MODEL MONEYLINEFairfield -817

Fairfield

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNiagara 63

Projected Total140.1

Projected ScoreFairfield 77

Team Comparison

NiagaraMetricFairfield

35.8MMH Power Index50.1

100.8Offensive Efficiency109.6

112.4Defensive Efficiency105.4

-11.6Net Efficiency4.2

-0.8Strength of Schedule-3.4

-5.6Last 10 Net Efficiency3.3

63.4Tempo67.8

50.9%Effective FG%49.1%

18.8%Turnover Rate15.0%

24.9%Offensive Rebound %36.0%

27.3%Free Throw Rate28.4%

-7.4Average Margin2.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fairfield HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY89.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFairfield holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.1–35.8), offensive efficiency (109.6–100.8), defensive efficiency (105.4–112.4), net efficiency (4.2–-11.6).

Niagara COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.8–-3.4), shooting efficiency (50.9–49.1).

Final

Niagara

61—62

Fairfield

Fairfield by 1 • 65.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NiagaraTEAM STATFairfield

24-56FG25-61

43.0%FG%41.0%

7-213PT7-24

33.0%3PT%29.0%

6-8FT5-9

75.0%FT%56.0%

31Rebounds41

6Offensive Rebounds13

12Assists14

12Turnovers12

6Steals8

4Blocks1

11Fouls13

Player Box Score

Niagara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Page	G	31	6-11	1-4	0-0	3	2	2	0	13
Josiah Sabino	G	28	5-9	1-3	0-0	7	0	0	0	11
Vice Zanki	F	23	4-6	3-4	0-0	5	1	0	0	11
Will Shortt	F	24	3-4	0-0	2-3	4	0	0	3	8
Reggie Prudhomme	G	33	3-8	1-5	0-0	3	7	2	0	7
Trenton Walters	G	27	1-11	1-3	4-4	1	1	1	0	7
Justin Hawkins	F	20	1-4	0-0	0-0	6	1	0	0	2
Brian Griffith	G	1	1-1	0-0	0-1	0	0	0	0	2
Landon Williams	G	9	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	1	0
Kabeya Tshibangu	C	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Benjamin	F	38	8-12	0-0	2-4	11	1	1	0	18
Declan Wucherpfennig	G	35	5-9	1-1	2-2	13	0	1	0	13
Tony Williams	G	30	4-10	3-8	0-0	1	2	1	0	11
Braden Sparks	G	36	4-18	1-7	1-3	4	5	3	0	10
Halon Rawlins	G	26	2-4	1-3	0-0	2	3	0	1	5
Eric Mejia	G	15	1-5	1-4	0-0	5	1	1	0	3
Deuce Turner	G	12	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	2	1	0	2
Ryan Zan	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaac Munkadi	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.1Possessions65.1

93.7Offensive Efficiency95.2

95.2Defensive Efficiency93.7

-1.5Net Efficiency1.5

49.1%Effective FG%46.7%

51.0%True Shooting %47.5%

18.2%Turnover Rate18.7%

14.3%Free Throw Rate14.8%

37.5%3-Point Rate39.3%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Fairfield won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 65.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.