Arkansas State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.0%Arkansas State

39.0%Georgia Southern

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -2.2

PROJECTED TOTAL164.8

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -156

Georgia Southern

21-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas State 84

Projected Total164.8

Projected ScoreGeorgia Southern 81

Team Comparison

Arkansas StateMetricGeorgia Southern

57.7MMH Power Index49.1

113.1Offensive Efficiency112.3

105.3Defensive Efficiency110.6

7.8Net Efficiency1.7

-1.0Strength of Schedule-2.2

15.2Last 10 Net Efficiency1.7

73.3Tempo72.0

52.7%Effective FG%52.1%

19.4%Turnover Rate14.5%

38.1%Offensive Rebound %28.6%

39.6%Free Throw Rate39.5%

5.8Average Margin1.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–49.1), offensive efficiency (113.1–112.3), defensive efficiency (105.3–110.6), net efficiency (7.8–1.7).

Georgia Southern COUNTERS WITHball security (14.5–19.4).

Final

Arkansas State

85—68

Georgia Southern

Arkansas State by 17 • 74.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arkansas StateTEAM STATGeorgia Southern

28-57FG23-66

49.0%FG%35.0%

10-263PT5-33

38.0%3PT%15.0%

19-23FT17-26

83.0%FT%65.0%

42Rebounds38

10Offensive Rebounds16

18Assists5

17Turnovers12

10Steals9

6Blocks3

21Fouls20

Player Box Score

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joey Chammaa	G	29	4-8	0-3	7-8	3	6	1	0	15
Christian Harmon	G	22	4-10	3-7	2-2	1	2	1	0	13
Jaxon Ellingsworth	F	22	6-6	1-1	0-0	3	0	2	1	13
TJ Caldwell	G	22	4-11	3-8	2-2	1	0	2	0	13
Jalen Hampton	G	24	3-5	0-0	4-4	14	1	2	1	10
Chandler Jackson	G	28	3-5	2-3	0-1	2	3	1	0	8
Chudi Dioramma	F	12	2-4	0-0	4-4	4	2	0	2	8
Royal Blue Smith	G	17	1-5	1-3	0-0	1	2	1	0	3
Aly Tounkara	F	21	1-2	0-0	0-2	11	2	0	2	2
Fredy-Salam Sylla	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Georgia Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Spudd Webb	G	27	6-11	2-5	0-0	4	1	2	0	14
Nakavieon White	F	18	5-8	1-4	3-4	3	1	0	0	14
Alden Applewhite	F	28	3-11	0-5	4-5	5	0	0	0	10
Khayri Dunn	G	23	1-4	1-4	5-6	2	0	1	0	8
Tyren Moore	G	25	1-7	1-6	3-4	0	1	2	0	6
Shainen Carter	F	19	2-3	0-0	0-2	6	0	0	0	4
Jefferson Koulibaly	G	14	2-7	0-3	0-1	1	1	1	0	4
Sean Van Dorn Jr	G	4	2-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Dwayne Williams Jr	G	17	0-10	0-5	2-2	2	1	2	0	2
Andres Burney	F	13	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	3	2
Tsvet Sotirov	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	0
Jayden Williams	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.7Possessions74.7

113.8Offensive Efficiency91.0

91.0Defensive Efficiency113.8

22.8Net Efficiency-22.8

57.9%Effective FG%38.6%

62.6%True Shooting %43.4%

22.7%Turnover Rate16.1%

40.4%Free Throw Rate39.4%

45.6%3-Point Rate50.0%

1.06Assist / Turnover0.42

Game Summary

Arkansas State won by 17 points. The game played at approximately 74.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.