Bellarmine

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

41.0%Bellarmine

59.0%Jacksonville

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADJacksonville -4.2

PROJECTED TOTAL157.1

MODEL MONEYLINEJacksonville -144

Jacksonville

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBellarmine 76

Projected Total157.1

Projected ScoreJacksonville 81

Team Comparison

BellarmineMetricJacksonville

44.9MMH Power Index43.6

119.6Offensive Efficiency109.8

122.1Defensive Efficiency110.3

-2.5Net Efficiency-0.5

-2.8Strength of Schedule-4.8

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-3.2

66.9Tempo66.6

60.0%Effective FG%51.7%

15.3%Turnover Rate16.9%

22.7%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

35.3%Free Throw Rate33.9%

-1.7Average Margin-0.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bellarmine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBellarmine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.9–43.6), offensive efficiency (119.6–109.8), strength of schedule (-2.8–-4.8), recent form (0.3–-3.2).

Jacksonville COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.3–122.1), net efficiency (-0.5–-2.5), offensive rebounding (33.6–22.7).

Final

Bellarmine

77—70

Jacksonville

Bellarmine by 7 • 62.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BellarmineTEAM STATJacksonville

28-52FG23-50

54.0%FG%46.0%

9-173PT7-21

53.0%3PT%33.0%

12-14FT17-17

86.0%FT%100.0%

25Rebounds23

6Offensive Rebounds5

14Assists13

11Turnovers8

5Steals6

2Blocks2

13Fouls16

Player Box Score

Bellarmine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kenyon Goodin	G	35	7-10	6-8	4-5	3	0	1	0	24
Jack Karasinski	F	30	5-10	1-3	3-3	5	4	0	0	14
Brian Waddell	F	32	5-9	0-1	3-4	4	0	1	1	13
Tyler Doyle	G	35	4-7	0-0	2-2	3	7	0	0	10
Sam Donald	F	26	3-7	1-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	7
Donovan Hunter	F	15	2-4	1-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	5
Michael Wilson Jr.	F	7	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Grant Whitaker	G	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jacob Wassler	C	11	0-1	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	1	0
Darrius Bolden	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Myles Watkins	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Jacksonville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Hayden Wood	G	29	7-11	5-8	2-2	1	0	0	2	21
Jason Thirdkill Jr.	F	31	6-7	0-1	5-5	9	2	0	0	17
Allen Udemadu	F	19	3-4	0-0	6-6	3	0	0	0	12
Evan Sterck	G	33	3-7	1-4	0-0	2	4	2	0	7
Chris Arias	G	16	1-4	1-3	2-2	1	1	1	0	5
Chris Lockett Jr.	G	27	0-7	0-4	2-2	3	1	2	0	2
Donovan Rivers	F	16	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Jaylen Jones	G	15	1-5	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	2
Jaylen Jordon	F	9	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	2	1	0	2
Charles Caporaso	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.4Possessions62.4

123.4Offensive Efficiency112.2

112.2Defensive Efficiency123.4

11.2Net Efficiency-11.2

62.5%Effective FG%53.0%

65.6%True Shooting %60.3%

17.3%Turnover Rate13.1%

26.9%Free Throw Rate34.0%

32.7%3-Point Rate42.0%

1.27Assist / Turnover1.63

Game Summary

Bellarmine won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 62.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.