Western Illinois

5-26

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

5.2%Western Illinois

94.8%Morehead State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMorehead State -18.5

PROJECTED TOTAL146.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMorehead State -1823

Morehead State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWestern Illinois 64

Projected Total146.9

Projected ScoreMorehead State 83

Team Comparison

Western IllinoisMetricMorehead State

25.9MMH Power Index47.3

96.2Offensive Efficiency110.8

113.9Defensive Efficiency110.0

-17.7Net Efficiency0.8

-2.4Strength of Schedule-4.0

-26.3Last 10 Net Efficiency3.1

67.5Tempo67.9

45.4%Effective FG%51.3%

17.5%Turnover Rate17.3%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %36.4%

37.5%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-11.9Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Morehead State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY94.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMorehead State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.3–25.9), offensive efficiency (110.8–96.2), defensive efficiency (110.0–113.9), net efficiency (0.8–-17.7).

Western Illinois COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.4–-4.0).

Final

Western Illinois

66—71

Morehead State

Morehead State by 5 • 64.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Western IllinoisTEAM STATMorehead State

25-61FG29-66

41.0%FG%44.0%

10-243PT3-16

42.0%3PT%19.0%

6-13FT10-20

46.0%FT%50.0%

31Rebounds50

10Offensive Rebounds21

12Assists14

7Turnovers10

5Steals4

2Blocks4

16Fouls11

Player Box Score

Western Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Lucas Lorenzen	G	37	8-18	5-11	5-6	4	2	1	1	26
Francis Okwuosah	F	19	5-8	3-6	0-0	1	1	0	0	13
Karyiek Dixon	F	22	4-6	0-0	0-0	5	2	1	0	8
Isaiah Griffin	F	36	2-11	2-5	1-2	8	1	0	0	7
Ifiok Peter	F	11	3-4	0-0	0-2	4	0	0	0	6
Makai Kvamme	G	29	2-6	0-0	0-1	0	3	3	0	4
Goanar Biliew	F	30	1-6	0-1	0-2	4	0	0	1	2
Tyran Cook	G	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	3	0	0	0
Danny Stephens	G	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Morehead State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Davion Cunningham	G	28	7-12	2-3	2-6	6	2	1	1	18
Tamaury Releford	C	19	6-6	0-0	0-0	9	0	0	0	12
Anouar Mellouk	F	23	5-13	0-1	1-1	5	1	1	0	11
George Marshall	G	32	4-10	0-5	2-4	6	0	1	2	10
Chase Dawson	G	23	2-7	0-1	3-4	1	4	0	0	7
Jon Carroll	F	24	2-8	0-0	1-1	15	0	0	0	5
Josiah LeGree	G	18	1-3	1-2	1-2	4	4	0	0	4
Vince Dawson III	G	19	1-5	0-4	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Tyonne Farrell	F	14	1-2	0-0	0-2	2	2	1	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

64.4Possessions64.4

102.5Offensive Efficiency110.2

110.2Defensive Efficiency102.5

-7.8Net Efficiency7.8

49.2%Effective FG%46.2%

49.1%True Shooting %47.0%

10.9%Turnover Rate15.5%

21.3%Free Throw Rate30.3%

39.3%3-Point Rate24.2%

1.71Assist / Turnover1.40

Game Summary

Morehead State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 64.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.