Little Rock

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.5%Little Rock

79.5%Southeast Missouri State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSoutheast Missouri State -10.0

PROJECTED TOTAL145.8

MODEL MONEYLINESoutheast Missouri State -388

Southeast Missouri State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLittle Rock 68

Projected Total145.8

Projected ScoreSoutheast Missouri State 78

Team Comparison

Little RockMetricSoutheast Missouri State

44MMH Power Index51.6

103.0Offensive Efficiency105.3

108.2Defensive Efficiency99.8

-5.2Net Efficiency5.5

0.5Strength of Schedule-2.4

-0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency6.4

68.5Tempo70.8

50.3%Effective FG%50.6%

18.7%Turnover Rate16.6%

32.1%Offensive Rebound %29.6%

28.6%Free Throw Rate39.3%

-3.6Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Southeast Missouri State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSoutheast Missouri State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.6–44.0), offensive efficiency (105.3–103.0), defensive efficiency (99.8–108.2), net efficiency (5.5–-5.2).

Little Rock COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-2.4), offensive rebounding (32.1–29.6).

Final

Little Rock

65—70

Southeast Missouri State

Southeast Missouri State by 5 • 68.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Little RockTEAM STATSoutheast Missouri State

22-60FG24-53

37.0%FG%45.0%

9-213PT7-23

43.0%3PT%30.0%

12-17FT15-21

71.0%FT%71.0%

31Rebounds35

8Offensive Rebounds6

12Assists16

8Turnovers11

8Steals4

6Blocks1

16Fouls14

Player Box Score

Little Rock

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Johnathan Lawson	G	40	7-19	5-11	2-3	5	2	4	0	21
Kachi Nzeh	F	32	5-12	3-6	0-0	6	2	1	3	13
Truman Claytor IV	F	28	3-10	0-1	4-5	2	0	0	0	10
Tuongthach Gatkek	F	37	3-5	0-0	2-2	6	5	2	0	8
Cameron Wallace	F	24	1-6	0-0	4-6	7	3	0	1	6
Braxton Bayless	G	31	2-6	1-3	0-1	3	0	1	0	5
Caleb Pennyfeather	F	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2	2
Tracy Steele Jr.	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Southeast Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Luke Almodovar	G	35	4-13	2-9	3-3	10	3	1	0	13
Landren Blocker	G	19	6-9	1-2	0-0	3	0	1	1	13
BJ Ward	G	35	4-5	2-2	1-2	1	2	0	0	11
Brendan Terry	F	32	4-6	0-0	2-5	6	4	0	0	10
Marqueas Bell	G	19	2-5	0-0	4-6	8	3	0	0	8
Braxton Stacker	G	28	2-6	1-4	2-2	2	3	1	0	7
Troy Cole Jr.	G	10	1-5	0-3	1-1	1	0	0	0	3
PJ Farmer	G	7	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	1	1	0	3
Elliot Lowndes	F	7	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	2
Blaize Sagna	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
David Idada	C	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.1Possessions68.1

95.4Offensive Efficiency102.8

102.8Defensive Efficiency95.4

-7.3Net Efficiency7.3

44.2%Effective FG%51.9%

47.7%True Shooting %55.6%

11.8%Turnover Rate16.2%

28.3%Free Throw Rate39.6%

35.0%3-Point Rate43.4%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.45

Game Summary

Southeast Missouri State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 68.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.