South Dakota State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.2%South Dakota State

83.8%St. Thomas-Minnesota

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. Thomas-Minnesota -11.3

PROJECTED TOTAL153.0

MODEL MONEYLINESt. Thomas-Minnesota -517

St. Thomas-Minnesota

24-10

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Dakota State 71

Projected Total153.0

Projected ScoreSt. Thomas-Minnesota 82

Team Comparison

South Dakota StateMetricSt. Thomas-Minnesota

49.6MMH Power Index59.8

110.6Offensive Efficiency116.8

106.9Defensive Efficiency102.2

3.7Net Efficiency14.6

-2.2Strength of Schedule-3.6

0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency14.7

68.2Tempo70.0

52.6%Effective FG%59.2%

16.2%Turnover Rate13.9%

31.5%Offensive Rebound %22.1%

30.3%Free Throw Rate35.2%

2.6Average Margin10.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. Thomas-Minnesota HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. Thomas-Minnesota holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.8–49.6), offensive efficiency (116.8–110.6), defensive efficiency (102.2–106.9), net efficiency (14.6–3.7).

South Dakota State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.2–-3.6), offensive rebounding (31.5–22.1).

Final

South Dakota State

69—74

St. Thomas-Minnesota

St. Thomas-Minnesota by 5 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South Dakota StateTEAM STATSt. Thomas-Minnesota

28-60FG24-52

47.0%FG%46.0%

7-223PT8-26

32.0%3PT%31.0%

6-13FT18-24

46.0%FT%75.0%

34Rebounds34

10Offensive Rebounds7

16Assists15

13Turnovers14

9Steals8

2Blocks2

20Fouls13

Player Box Score

South Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joe Sayler	G	37	10-15	3-6	1-2	5	2	0	0	24
Matthew Mors	F	24	5-5	2-2	0-0	3	0	3	0	12
Damon Wilkinson	C	25	4-8	0-0	2-4	7	2	0	0	10
Bubz Alvarez	G	21	3-5	1-2	2-2	3	0	3	0	9
Alec Squires	C	15	3-4	0-0	0-1	3	1	0	0	6
Jaden Jackson	G	36	2-12	1-8	0-0	4	7	1	0	5
Luke Haertle	G	10	1-3	0-0	0-2	0	1	1	1	2
Kalen Garry	G	21	0-7	0-3	1-2	4	3	0	1	1
Jaden Rogers	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
Caleb Delzell	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

St. Thomas-Minnesota

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Janowski	G	35	6-13	1-5	8-10	6	3	0	1	21
Carter Bjerke	F	30	8-13	5-8	0-0	4	2	1	0	21
Nolan Minessale	G	35	4-10	1-6	5-6	4	3	0	0	14
Ryan Dufault	G	28	4-5	0-0	2-4	5	1	4	0	10
Austin Herro	G	26	2-5	1-3	1-2	2	3	2	0	6
Ben Oosterbaan	F	20	0-4	0-2	2-2	6	3	1	0	2
Jermaine Coleman	G	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Johnson-Arigu	F	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Hayden Tibbits	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

98.9Offensive Efficiency106.0

106.0Defensive Efficiency98.9

-7.2Net Efficiency7.2

52.5%Effective FG%53.8%

52.1%True Shooting %58.4%

18.8%Turnover Rate19.9%

21.7%Free Throw Rate46.2%

36.7%3-Point Rate50.0%

1.23Assist / Turnover1.07

Game Summary

St. Thomas-Minnesota won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.