North Dakota State

27-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

64.4%North Dakota State

35.6%Denver

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNorth Dakota State -4.3

PROJECTED TOTAL162.1

MODEL MONEYLINENorth Dakota State -181

Denver

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorth Dakota State 83

Projected Total162.1

Projected ScoreDenver 79

Team Comparison

North Dakota StateMetricDenver

59MMH Power Index49.1

115.4Offensive Efficiency119.2

100.8Defensive Efficiency119.2

14.6Net Efficiency0.0

-4.6Strength of Schedule-2.6

14.3Last 10 Net Efficiency4.0

69.6Tempo69.5

54.5%Effective FG%55.3%

15.5%Turnover Rate14.2%

32.0%Offensive Rebound %30.9%

31.3%Free Throw Rate35.3%

10.1Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

North Dakota State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNorth Dakota State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.0–49.1), defensive efficiency (100.8–119.2), net efficiency (14.6–0.0), recent form (14.3–4.0).

Denver COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (119.2–115.4), strength of schedule (-2.6–-4.6), shooting efficiency (55.3–54.5).

Final

North Dakota State

82—77

Denver

North Dakota State by 5 • 65.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

North Dakota StateTEAM STATDenver

30-59FG31-64

51.0%FG%48.0%

11-263PT12-28

42.0%3PT%43.0%

11-15FT3-4

73.0%FT%75.0%

36Rebounds29

10Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists12

8Turnovers8

7Steals3

5Blocks1

12Fouls13

Player Box Score

North Dakota State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Trevian Carson	G	35	6-13	3-6	8-8	5	2	2	1	23
Markhi Strickland	G	29	6-8	0-0	1-3	1	1	1	0	13
Andy Stefonowicz	G	25	4-9	4-5	0-0	1	3	2	0	12
Damari Wheeler-Thomas	G	33	5-12	1-6	0-0	5	4	0	0	11
Treyson Anderson	F	20	4-7	2-4	0-0	9	1	0	3	10
Noah Feddersen	F	20	4-6	0-2	2-2	4	1	1	1	10
Tay Smith	G	22	1-3	1-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	3
Emil Skytta	G	11	0-1	0-0	0-2	1	1	0	0	0
Riley Massey	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Denver

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carson Johnson	G	39	8-15	3-6	2-2	0	5	1	0	21
Zane Nelson	G	34	8-20	4-9	0-1	6	3	0	0	20
Jeremiah Burke	F	36	5-12	3-8	0-0	5	0	1	0	13
Gabe Oldham	F	35	5-6	0-0	1-1	10	1	1	0	11
Logan Kinsey	F	30	4-5	2-3	0-0	4	2	0	1	10
Julius Rollins	G	13	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Josh Lee	G	6	0-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Didier Maleng	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Shaun Wysocki	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.0Possessions65.0

126.2Offensive Efficiency118.5

118.5Defensive Efficiency126.2

7.7Net Efficiency-7.7

60.2%Effective FG%57.8%

62.0%True Shooting %58.4%

12.5%Turnover Rate12.1%

25.4%Free Throw Rate6.3%

44.1%3-Point Rate43.8%

1.75Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

North Dakota State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 65.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.