Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

25.8%Cal Poly

74.2%UC Santa Barbara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Santa Barbara -8.8

PROJECTED TOTAL162.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Santa Barbara -288

UC Santa Barbara

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 77

Projected Total162.8

Projected ScoreUC Santa Barbara 86

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricUC Santa Barbara

46.5MMH Power Index51.4

107.2Offensive Efficiency113.2

111.0Defensive Efficiency106.1

-3.8Net Efficiency7.1

1.7Strength of Schedule-2.0

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.7

76.6Tempo68.5

52.2%Effective FG%54.8%

19.8%Turnover Rate18.7%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %32.5%

35.8%Free Throw Rate37.9%

-2.9Average Margin4.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Santa Barbara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY74.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Santa Barbara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.4–46.5), offensive efficiency (113.2–107.2), defensive efficiency (106.1–111.0), net efficiency (7.1–-3.8).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.7–-2.0), recent form (2.4–-1.7).

Final

Cal Poly

67—107

UC Santa Barbara

UC Santa Barbara by 40 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATUC Santa Barbara

23-49FG42-63

47.0%FG%67.0%

7-263PT15-29

27.0%3PT%52.0%

14-20FT8-11

70.0%FT%73.0%

17Rebounds34

5Offensive Rebounds10

12Assists23

13Turnovers9

6Steals10

—Blocks1

9Fouls17

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jake Davis	G	27	3-11	1-7	4-4	5	1	1	11
Hamad Mousa	G	25	2-3	2-2	4-5	0	3	2	10
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	12	3-4	2-3	0-0	3	0	1	8
Kieran Elliott	G	21	3-4	0-0	1-2	2	0	1	7
Austin Goode	F	17	3-8	1-5	0-0	1	0	0	7
Cayden Ward	G	25	3-6	0-3	0-0	1	0	0	6
Peter Bandelj	G	23	2-7	1-4	1-2	0	1	0	6
Luka Tarlac	G	21	1-2	0-1	3-6	1	4	1	5
Ali Assran	F	15	2-3	0-1	1-1	0	2	0	5
Troy Plumtree	F	10	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	2
Eric Brown	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0

UC Santa Barbara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zion Sensley	G	21	8-12	3-5	1-1	7	0	0	0	20
CJ Shaw	G	22	6-9	4-6	0-0	1	2	2	0	16
Aidan Mahaney	G	23	6-9	2-4	1-2	2	1	0	0	15
Miro Little	G	22	5-6	2-2	0-0	5	11	1	0	12
Zachiah Clark	G	11	5-6	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	12
Colin Smith	F	20	4-7	2-5	1-2	1	4	0	0	11
Marvin McGhee IV	G	19	3-7	2-6	0-0	1	1	0	0	8
Hosana Kitenge	F	18	3-3	0-0	0-0	4	2	1	0	6
Koat Keat Tong	F	12	2-3	0-0	2-2	4	1	2	1	6
Luke Zuffelato	G	8	0-1	0-1	1-2	0	0	2	0	1
Michael Simcoe	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	1	1	0	0
Evans Kipruto	C	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kyle Haughy	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
John Simcoe	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Isaac Shingange	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

100.1Offensive Efficiency159.9

159.9Defensive Efficiency100.1

-59.8Net Efficiency59.8

54.1%Effective FG%78.6%

57.3%True Shooting %78.4%

19.5%Turnover Rate13.4%

40.8%Free Throw Rate17.5%

53.1%3-Point Rate46.0%

0.92Assist / Turnover2.56

Game Summary

UC Santa Barbara won by 40 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.