UC San Diego

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

51.2%UC San Diego

48.8%UC Davis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -0.5

PROJECTED TOTAL151.2

MODEL MONEYLINEUC San Diego -105

UC Davis

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 75

Projected Total151.2

Projected ScoreUC Davis 76

Team Comparison

UC San DiegoMetricUC Davis

53.4MMH Power Index48.4

108.4Offensive Efficiency107.2

100.7Defensive Efficiency103.7

7.7Net Efficiency3.5

-1.3Strength of Schedule-1.9

5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

69.8Tempo72.4

53.1%Effective FG%52.3%

16.4%Turnover Rate17.7%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

33.2%Free Throw Rate41.5%

5.4Average Margin2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC San Diego HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY51.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC San Diego holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.4–48.4), offensive efficiency (108.4–107.2), defensive efficiency (100.7–103.7), net efficiency (7.7–3.5).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHfree throw rate (41.5–33.2).

Final

UC San Diego

80—74

UC Davis

UC San Diego by 6 • 74.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC San DiegoTEAM STATUC Davis

27-55FG24-67

49.0%FG%36.0%

7-243PT12-31

29.0%3PT%39.0%

19-27FT14-21

70.0%FT%67.0%

48Rebounds33

11Offensive Rebounds12

18Assists18

16Turnovers11

6Steals5

6Blocks4

18Fouls18

Player Box Score

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Alex Chaikin	G	33	7-12	5-10	0-0	2	2	1	1	19
Hudson Mayes	G	29	7-11	0-1	5-6	12	2	1	2	19
Emanuel Prospere II	G	26	4-9	0-1	6-10	6	7	2	0	14
Bol Dengdit	F	18	5-8	0-2	2-5	4	3	1	0	12
Tom Beattie	G	29	1-4	1-4	4-4	6	2	0	1	7
Leo Beath	F	28	2-5	1-2	0-0	7	2	1	0	5
Aidan Burke	G	19	0-5	0-4	2-2	5	0	0	1	2
Dimitrije Vukicevic	C	8	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	2
Trap Johnson	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Wilson	G	31	6-16	3-5	2-3	4	5	0	0	17
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	28	4-8	4-7	4-5	0	3	1	0	16
Niko Rocak	F	26	4-6	0-0	3-5	11	4	1	2	11
Isaiah Chappell	F	29	3-12	3-9	1-2	4	1	2	0	10
Nils Cooper	G	19	3-6	0-0	3-5	3	0	0	2	9
Connor Sevilla	G	22	2-11	2-7	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Brayden Fagbemi	G	26	1-4	0-1	1-1	3	3	1	0	3
Jalen Stokes	G	9	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	2
Omer Suljanovic	F	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.4Possessions74.4

107.5Offensive Efficiency99.5

99.5Defensive Efficiency107.5

8.1Net Efficiency-8.1

55.5%Effective FG%44.8%

59.0%True Shooting %48.1%

22.0%Turnover Rate14.5%

49.1%Free Throw Rate31.3%

43.6%3-Point Rate46.3%

1.13Assist / Turnover1.64

Game Summary

UC San Diego won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 74.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.