Idaho State

13-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

20.3%Idaho State

79.7%Montana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -10.2

PROJECTED TOTAL152.0

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -393

Montana State

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho State 71

Projected Total152.0

Projected ScoreMontana State 81

Team Comparison

Idaho StateMetricMontana State

45.9MMH Power Index53.6

111.0Offensive Efficiency114.4

113.4Defensive Efficiency104.9

-2.4Net Efficiency9.5

0.2Strength of Schedule-3.7

-9.6Last 10 Net Efficiency4.9

67.1Tempo68.1

52.2%Effective FG%55.1%

16.5%Turnover Rate14.7%

33.9%Offensive Rebound %28.1%

39.1%Free Throw Rate30.7%

-1.6Average Margin6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–45.9), offensive efficiency (114.4–111.0), defensive efficiency (104.9–113.4), net efficiency (9.5–-2.4).

Idaho State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.2–-3.7), offensive rebounding (33.9–28.1), free throw rate (39.1–30.7).

Final

Idaho State

62—74

Montana State

Montana State by 12 • 62.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Idaho StateTEAM STATMontana State

22-54FG28-64

41.0%FG%44.0%

7-253PT11-27

28.0%3PT%41.0%

11-18FT7-10

61.0%FT%70.0%

32Rebounds32

9Offensive Rebounds12

9Assists11

9Turnovers6

3Steals5

4Blocks1

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Gus Etchison	PG	21	9-16	1-4	1-2	0	5	1	1	20
Caleb Van De Griend	F	20	3-9	1-4	4-6	10	1	0	0	11
Jamison Guerra	PG	19	3-8	2-3	2-2	0	0	0	0	10
Martin Kheil	G	32	3-6	3-6	0-0	2	0	0	0	9
Cheikh Sow	G	22	1-3	0-1	2-2	7	0	1	1	4
Evan Otten	F	17	2-3	0-0	0-2	7	2	0	2	4
Connor Hollenbeck	F	28	1-6	0-4	1-2	4	1	0	0	3
Lachlan Brewer	G	31	0-3	0-3	1-2	1	0	1	0	1
Quin Patterson	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Blake Daberkow	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jed Miller	G	37	6-11	4-6	4-4	6	4	1	0	20
Patrick McMahon	G	30	9-17	0-4	1-3	9	1	0	0	19
Davian Brown	G	27	5-12	3-5	0-1	3	2	0	0	13
Christian King	F	19	2-9	1-5	2-2	1	0	1	0	7
Seth Amunrud	G	25	2-5	1-3	0-0	2	1	1	0	5
Jaden Steppe	F	19	2-4	1-1	0-0	1	3	0	0	5
Howie Keene	G	19	1-2	1-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	3
Jeremiah Davis	G	3	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Chris Hodges	F	21	0-2	0-0	0-0	5	0	1	1	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.7Possessions62.7

98.9Offensive Efficiency118.0

118.0Defensive Efficiency98.9

-19.1Net Efficiency19.1

47.2%Effective FG%52.3%

49.6%True Shooting %53.8%

14.4%Turnover Rate9.6%

33.3%Free Throw Rate15.6%

46.3%3-Point Rate42.2%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.83

Game Summary

Montana State won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 62.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.