Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.2%Sacramento State

83.8%Idaho

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIdaho -12.1

PROJECTED TOTAL158.3

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho -517

Idaho

21-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 73

Projected Total158.3

Projected ScoreIdaho 85

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricIdaho

43MMH Power Index53.2

106.1Offensive Efficiency111.6

112.0Defensive Efficiency104.3

-5.9Net Efficiency7.3

0.9Strength of Schedule-2.4

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency4.5

73.2Tempo69.7

48.5%Effective FG%52.8%

14.2%Turnover Rate15.1%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %29.5%

41.8%Free Throw Rate34.6%

-4.3Average Margin5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.2–43.0), offensive efficiency (111.6–106.1), defensive efficiency (104.3–112.0), net efficiency (7.3–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-2.4), ball security (14.2–15.1), free throw rate (41.8–34.6).

Final

Sacramento State

76—86

Idaho

Idaho by 10 • 71.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATIdaho

28-71FG29-59

39.0%FG%49.0%

3-143PT14-32

21.0%3PT%44.0%

17-17FT14-16

100.0%FT%88.0%

38Rebounds36

15Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists16

9Turnovers12

6Steals5

1Blocks3

16Fouls15

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mark Lavrenov	F	38	10-19	0-2	6-6	12	1	1	0	26
Jahni Summers	G	35	5-10	2-3	2-2	8	1	0	0	14
Mikey Williams	G	28	4-13	0-2	6-6	6	2	2	1	14
Arman Madi	G	20	4-8	1-3	1-1	1	0	2	0	10
Prophet Johnson	G	38	4-12	0-1	0-0	8	9	0	0	8
Shaqir O'Neal	F	22	1-4	0-2	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Taj Glover	G	10	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Romari Robinson	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jayden Teat	G	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Idaho

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Biko Johnson	G	36	7-15	2-7	4-4	3	4	1	0	20
Isaiah Brickner	G	26	7-12	3-5	2-2	1	0	0	0	19
Kolton Mitchell	G	33	4-9	3-7	6-7	4	5	2	0	17
Jack Payne	G	39	4-8	2-5	2-2	12	3	1	1	12
Seth Joba	F	27	3-8	3-5	0-0	5	0	0	1	9
Aidan Sevilla	G	20	3-4	1-2	0-0	4	3	1	0	7
Brody Rowbury	F	16	1-3	0-1	0-1	4	0	0	1	2
Miles Klapper	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.9Possessions71.9

105.7Offensive Efficiency119.6

119.6Defensive Efficiency105.7

-13.9Net Efficiency13.9

41.5%Effective FG%61.0%

48.1%True Shooting %64.6%

12.3%Turnover Rate17.0%

23.9%Free Throw Rate27.1%

19.7%3-Point Rate54.2%

1.56Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Idaho won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 71.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.