Missouri State

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.3%Missouri State

62.7%New Mexico State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico State -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL149.3

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico State -168

New Mexico State

16-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMissouri State 72

Projected Total149.3

Projected ScoreNew Mexico State 77

Team Comparison

Missouri StateMetricNew Mexico State

51.1MMH Power Index51.2

110.5Offensive Efficiency108.9

108.4Defensive Efficiency104.5

2.1Net Efficiency4.4

0.5Strength of Schedule-0.7

-2.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-2.0

67.9Tempo68.9

51.8%Effective FG%48.6%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.2%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

42.9%Free Throw Rate37.0%

1.4Average Margin3.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

New Mexico State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNew Mexico State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.2–51.1), defensive efficiency (104.5–108.4), net efficiency (4.4–2.1), recent form (-2.0–-2.1).

Missouri State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.5–108.9), strength of schedule (0.5–-0.7), shooting efficiency (51.8–48.6).

Final

Missouri State

84—75

New Mexico State

Missouri State by 9 • 64.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Missouri StateTEAM STATNew Mexico State

27-53FG27-62

51.0%FG%44.0%

8-233PT6-23

35.0%3PT%26.0%

22-27FT15-20

81.0%FT%75.0%

40Rebounds28

13Offensive Rebounds11

12Assists10

11Turnovers5

2Steals6

1Blocks4

19Fouls22

Player Box Score

Missouri State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keith Palek III	F	33	6-11	2-5	12-14	6	3	0	0	26
Michael Osei-Bonsu	F	30	8-12	0-0	5-7	9	2	1	0	21
Kobi Williams	G	38	5-10	3-7	0-0	3	0	0	0	13
Zaxton King	G	30	3-6	1-4	0-0	2	4	1	0	7
Trey Williams Jr.	G	20	2-4	1-3	2-2	1	2	0	0	7
Antwan Burnett	G	19	2-7	1-3	0-0	6	0	0	0	5
Tyrique Brooks	G	12	1-2	0-1	1-1	0	1	0	0	3
Darrion Sutton	F	5	0-1	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	0	2
Cameron Boone	F	9	0-0	0-0	0-1	2	0	0	1	0
Logan Epes	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

New Mexico State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jemel Jones	G	31	8-18	4-8	8-9	3	2	1	0	28
Julius Mims	F	33	8-12	1-4	0-2	8	0	3	0	17
Jae'Coby Osborne	F	31	5-5	0-0	1-1	3	0	1	1	11
Jayland Randall	G	18	2-6	0-4	3-4	4	0	0	1	7
Elijah Elliott	G	30	2-9	0-1	2-2	3	7	0	0	6
Kyrese Mullen	F	22	2-5	1-3	1-2	1	0	1	0	6
Anthony Wrzeszcz	G	18	0-4	0-3	0-0	2	1	0	1	0
Chris Terrell	G	10	0-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Augustine Ekwe	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Cyr Malonga	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.7Possessions64.7

129.8Offensive Efficiency115.9

115.9Defensive Efficiency129.8

13.9Net Efficiency-13.9

58.5%Effective FG%48.4%

63.8%True Shooting %52.4%

17.2%Turnover Rate7.6%

50.9%Free Throw Rate32.3%

43.4%3-Point Rate37.1%

1.09Assist / Turnover2.00

Game Summary

Missouri State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 64.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.