Massachusetts

17-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.3%Massachusetts

57.7%Buffalo

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBuffalo -2.6

PROJECTED TOTAL159.7

MODEL MONEYLINEBuffalo -136

Buffalo

17-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMassachusetts 79

Projected Total159.7

Projected ScoreBuffalo 81

Team Comparison

MassachusettsMetricBuffalo

51.5MMH Power Index49.7

110.3Offensive Efficiency114.9

106.7Defensive Efficiency112.2

3.6Net Efficiency2.7

0.9Strength of Schedule0.0

-4.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.9

72.8Tempo67.9

53.2%Effective FG%56.1%

17.9%Turnover Rate16.1%

33.7%Offensive Rebound %27.6%

37.7%Free Throw Rate40.4%

2.6Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Massachusetts HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMassachusetts holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (51.5–49.7), defensive efficiency (106.7–112.2), net efficiency (3.6–2.7), strength of schedule (0.9–0.0).

Buffalo COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (114.9–110.3), shooting efficiency (56.1–53.2), ball security (16.1–17.9).

Final

Massachusetts

68—67

Buffalo

Massachusetts by 1 • 66.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MassachusettsTEAM STATBuffalo

26-58FG26-52

45.0%FG%50.0%

6-203PT8-25

30.0%3PT%32.0%

10-16FT7-14

63.0%FT%50.0%

36Rebounds28

12Offensive Rebounds5

13Assists17

13Turnovers12

8Steals7

1Blocks1

13Fouls13

Player Box Score

Massachusetts

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marcus Banks Jr.	G	34	6-15	4-10	3-3	2	1	1	0	19
Leonardo Bettiol	F	34	7-10	0-0	2-3	7	3	2	0	16
Daniel Hankins-Sanford	F	35	5-9	1-2	4-4	10	1	0	0	15
Jayden Ndjigue	G	23	3-5	0-1	1-4	2	1	2	1	7
Danny Carbuccia	G	29	2-9	0-2	0-2	2	6	2	0	4
Dwayne Wimbley Jr.	F	14	1-2	1-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	3
K'Jei Parker	G	17	1-6	0-3	0-0	3	1	1	0	2
Luka Damjanac	F	11	1-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Isaiah Placide	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Buffalo

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ryan Sabol	G	40	10-18	5-12	2-4	4	5	1	0	27
Daniel Freitag	G	37	6-15	1-7	5-8	4	7	0	1	18
Noah Batchelor	G	35	7-7	2-2	0-0	3	0	1	0	16
Mikhail Pocknett	F	22	2-3	0-0	0-0	6	0	1	0	4
Angelo Brizzi	G	18	1-4	0-3	0-0	0	3	1	0	2
Ezra McKenna	F	26	0-2	0-1	0-2	5	1	0	0	0
Tim Oboh	C	15	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	2	0	0
Derrick Talton Jr.	G	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.2Possessions66.2

102.7Offensive Efficiency101.2

101.2Defensive Efficiency102.7

1.5Net Efficiency-1.5

50.0%Effective FG%57.7%

51.8%True Shooting %57.1%

19.5%Turnover Rate18.3%

27.6%Free Throw Rate26.9%

34.5%3-Point Rate48.1%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.42

Game Summary

Massachusetts won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 66.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Effective FG%, True Shooting %, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.