Utah State

29-7

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.4%Utah State

34.6%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -3.8

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -189

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah State 78

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreColorado State 74

Team Comparison

Utah StateMetricColorado State

65.7MMH Power Index55.4

119.7Offensive Efficiency117.1

103.1Defensive Efficiency109.9

16.6Net Efficiency7.2

3.5Strength of Schedule0.4

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

68.6Tempo64.7

56.9%Effective FG%58.6%

15.1%Turnover Rate18.3%

33.0%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

39.1%Free Throw Rate41.2%

11.4Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–55.4), offensive efficiency (119.7–117.1), defensive efficiency (103.1–109.9), net efficiency (16.6–7.2).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHrecent form (4.3–0.3), shooting efficiency (58.6–56.9), free throw rate (41.2–39.1).

Final

Utah State

65—61

Colorado State

Utah State by 4 • 62.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah StateTEAM STATColorado State

28-56FG22-43

50.0%FG%51.0%

5-203PT10-21

25.0%3PT%48.0%

4-5FT7-10

80.0%FT%70.0%

22Rebounds30

6Offensive Rebounds7

15Assists16

10Turnovers21

11Steals5

2Blocks1

15Fouls13

Player Box Score

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
MJ Collins Jr.	G	34	7-15	2-6	4-4	3	1	0	0	20
Garry Clark	F	28	5-6	0-1	0-1	4	2	1	0	10
Karson Templin	F	24	5-7	0-1	0-0	4	0	1	2	10
Mason Falslev	G	36	4-8	1-4	0-0	0	2	3	0	9
Adlan Elamin	F	21	4-7	1-3	0-0	3	1	1	0	9
Elijah Perryman	G	17	2-3	1-2	0-0	3	4	3	0	5
Drake Allen	G	23	1-8	0-3	0-0	0	3	0	0	2
Kolby King	G	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	4	2	2	0	0
Zach Keller	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kyle Jorgensen	F	34	8-13	5-6	3-4	5	2	3	0	24
Josh Pascarelli	G	33	5-8	3-5	0-0	5	3	0	0	13
Rashaan Mbemba	F	28	3-6	0-0	4-5	5	4	0	1	10
Jase Butler	G	30	2-6	2-6	0-0	2	2	0	0	6
Carey Booth	F	14	2-4	0-1	0-1	3	0	1	0	4
Brandon Rechsteiner	G	30	1-4	0-3	0-0	3	1	1	0	2
Jevin Muniz	G	23	1-1	0-0	0-0	3	3	0	0	2
Augustinas Kiudulas	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jojo McIver	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.1Possessions62.1

104.7Offensive Efficiency98.2

98.2Defensive Efficiency104.7

6.4Net Efficiency-6.4

54.5%Effective FG%62.8%

55.7%True Shooting %63.9%

16.0%Turnover Rate34.0%

8.9%Free Throw Rate23.3%

35.7%3-Point Rate48.8%

1.50Assist / Turnover0.76

Game Summary

Utah State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 62.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.