NC State

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

63.7%NC State

36.3%Pittsburgh

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNC State -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL152.9

MODEL MONEYLINENC State -175

Pittsburgh

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNC State 78

Projected Total152.9

Projected ScorePittsburgh 75

Team Comparison

NC StateMetricPittsburgh

60.1MMH Power Index50.5

118.4Offensive Efficiency108.4

108.6Defensive Efficiency110.4

9.8Net Efficiency-2.0

6.4Strength of Schedule5.5

-11.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.9

70.2Tempo65.0

55.1%Effective FG%51.4%

13.1%Turnover Rate17.3%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %33.1%

35.7%Free Throw Rate31.2%

6.9Average Margin-1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

NC State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNC State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (60.1–50.5), offensive efficiency (118.4–108.4), defensive efficiency (108.6–110.4), net efficiency (9.8–-2.0).

Pittsburgh COUNTERS WITHrecent form (-6.9–-11.9), offensive rebounding (33.1–28.2).

Final

NC State

81—72

Pittsburgh

NC State by 9 • 67.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

NC StateTEAM STATPittsburgh

26-55FG25-68

47.0%FG%37.0%

7-203PT11-29

35.0%3PT%38.0%

22-27FT11-25

81.0%FT%44.0%

31Rebounds52

8Offensive Rebounds26

12Assists11

8Turnovers14

10Steals1

5Blocks2

21Fouls20

Player Box Score

NC State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quadir Copeland	G	36	6-11	0-1	8-9	3	9	1	0	20
Ven-Allen Lubin	F	32	5-8	0-1	7-8	12	0	1	1	17
Paul McNeil Jr.	G	32	5-11	5-9	0-0	2	0	2	0	15
Tre Holloman	G	22	2-5	2-4	4-6	1	1	1	1	10
Matt Able	G	24	4-9	0-2	0-0	3	0	1	1	8
Darrion Williams	F	26	2-8	0-3	3-4	4	2	0	1	7
Terrance Arceneaux	G	17	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Musa Sagnia	F	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	3	1	2

Pittsburgh

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Roman Siulepa	F	27	5-9	2-4	3-7	13	1	0	2	15
Damarco Minor	G	37	4-12	3-9	2-2	6	3	0	0	13
Barry Dunning Jr.	G	39	5-12	2-4	0-2	9	0	1	0	12
Cameron Corhen	F	31	4-12	0-0	2-6	10	0	0	0	10
Brandin Cummings	G	27	3-11	2-7	1-4	1	3	0	0	9
Nojus Indrusaitis	G	21	2-8	2-4	2-2	4	4	0	0	8
Omari Witherspoon	G	15	2-4	0-1	1-2	3	0	0	0	5
Kieran Mullen	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Macari Moore	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.9Possessions67.9

119.3Offensive Efficiency106.0

106.0Defensive Efficiency119.3

13.3Net Efficiency-13.3

53.6%Effective FG%44.9%

59.7%True Shooting %45.1%

11.8%Turnover Rate20.6%

49.1%Free Throw Rate36.8%

36.4%3-Point Rate42.6%

1.50Assist / Turnover0.79

Game Summary

NC State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 67.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.