American University

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.4%American University

34.6%Holy Cross

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAmerican University -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL144.3

MODEL MONEYLINEAmerican University -189

Holy Cross

11-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAmerican University 74

Projected Total144.3

Projected ScoreHoly Cross 70

Team Comparison

American UniversityMetricHoly Cross

48.2MMH Power Index37.9

110.6Offensive Efficiency103.3

105.8Defensive Efficiency110.9

4.8Net Efficiency-7.6

-4.3Strength of Schedule-2.6

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

67.5Tempo66.1

52.6%Effective FG%49.8%

15.7%Turnover Rate15.4%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %22.4%

30.1%Free Throw Rate32.5%

3.3Average Margin-5.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

American University HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAmerican University holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.2–37.9), offensive efficiency (110.6–103.3), defensive efficiency (105.8–110.9), net efficiency (4.8–-7.6).

Holy Cross COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.6–-4.3), ball security (15.4–15.7), free throw rate (32.5–30.1).

Final

American University

76—67

Holy Cross

American University by 9 • 64.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

American UniversityTEAM STATHoly Cross

30-59FG23-52

51.0%FG%44.0%

6-203PT9-20

30.0%3PT%45.0%

10-12FT12-14

83.0%FT%86.0%

31Rebounds30

8Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists10

7Turnovers14

8Steals4

3Blocks3

15Fouls15

Player Box Score

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Madden Collins	G	27	8-13	1-1	3-4	5	2	1	1	20
Julen Iturbe	F	27	6-12	1-4	2-2	8	1	1	0	15
Greg Jones	F	31	5-11	1-3	3-4	3	0	0	0	14
Matt Mayock	F	29	4-5	1-2	0-0	3	3	4	2	9
Chris Eagan	F	12	2-5	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	6
Geoff Sprouse	G	27	2-7	1-6	0-0	0	0	1	0	5
Wyatt Nausadis	G	20	2-3	0-1	0-0	0	2	1	0	4
Kade Sebastian	G	21	1-3	1-3	0-0	4	3	0	0	3
Luke Brown	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Dean Hogans	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Holy Cross

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joe Nugent	G	34	6-11	6-9	0-0	3	0	2	0	18
Aiden Disu	F	32	5-9	0-1	2-2	4	2	0	2	12
Tyler Boston	G	37	4-10	1-3	2-3	4	2	1	0	11
Gabe Warren	G	33	3-8	1-3	4-5	6	4	0	1	11
DeAndre Williams	G	28	3-7	1-3	0-0	3	2	1	0	7
John St. Germain III	G	20	2-7	0-1	2-2	4	0	0	0	6
Chuck Hare	F	5	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Will Aljancic	F	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.7Possessions64.7

117.5Offensive Efficiency103.6

103.6Defensive Efficiency117.5

13.9Net Efficiency-13.9

55.9%Effective FG%52.9%

58.7%True Shooting %57.1%

11.0%Turnover Rate21.3%

20.3%Free Throw Rate26.9%

33.9%3-Point Rate38.5%

1.57Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

American University won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 64.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.