South Carolina Upstate

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

80.0%South Carolina Upstate

20.0%Gardner-Webb

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSouth Carolina Upstate -9.9

PROJECTED TOTAL153.1

MODEL MONEYLINESouth Carolina Upstate -400

Gardner-Webb

4-29

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouth Carolina Upstate 81

Projected Total153.1

Projected ScoreGardner-Webb 72

Team Comparison

South Carolina UpstateMetricGardner-Webb

43.6MMH Power Index26.6

104.5Offensive Efficiency96.0

103.7Defensive Efficiency120.4

0.8Net Efficiency-24.4

-3.8Strength of Schedule3.3

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-18.2

71.1Tempo71.0

50.3%Effective FG%48.8%

17.6%Turnover Rate19.2%

30.1%Offensive Rebound %23.6%

34.0%Free Throw Rate31.5%

0.6Average Margin-17.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

South Carolina Upstate HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY80.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSouth Carolina Upstate holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (43.6–26.6), offensive efficiency (104.5–96.0), defensive efficiency (103.7–120.4), net efficiency (0.8–-24.4).

Gardner-Webb COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (3.3–-3.8).

Final

South Carolina Upstate

65—67

Gardner-Webb

Gardner-Webb by 2 • 66.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

South Carolina UpstateTEAM STATGardner-Webb

21-56FG26-60

38.0%FG%43.0%

7-213PT5-17

33.0%3PT%29.0%

16-22FT10-13

73.0%FT%77.0%

34Rebounds40

11Offensive Rebounds12

11Assists7

11Turnovers12

3Steals8

4Blocks2

17Fouls19

Player Box Score

South Carolina Upstate

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Karmani Gregory	G	35	8-16	4-7	2-2	4	2	1	0	22
Carmelo Adkins	G	27	4-8	3-5	4-6	3	1	0	0	15
Mason Bendinger	G	31	5-16	0-2	2-5	5	2	1	1	12
Learic Davis	F	27	2-6	0-4	4-4	6	1	0	1	8
Breylin Garcia	F	17	1-2	0-0	2-3	6	2	1	0	4
Jafeth Martinez	F	13	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Kanye Jones	G	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Coen Collier	C	13	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	2	0
Tyler Smith	G	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Isaiah Skinner	G	10	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
CJ Rich	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	0	0	0

Gardner-Webb

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacob Hogarth	F	27	7-12	0-0	3-4	11	0	1	1	17
Colin Hawkins	G	33	5-13	1-3	0-0	2	3	1	0	11
Jamias Ferere	G	19	4-8	2-3	0-1	5	0	0	0	10
Riek Riek	F	13	2-4	1-3	2-2	5	0	0	0	7
Jacob Hudson	G	30	1-5	0-1	4-4	6	3	0	1	6
Ace Talbert	G	24	3-6	0-2	0-0	2	1	2	0	6
Spence Sims	G	16	1-3	0-2	1-2	2	0	1	0	3
DJ Jefferson	G	10	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Curtis Williams III	G	21	1-5	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	0	2
Bo Barber	G	7	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	2	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

66.4Possessions66.4

97.9Offensive Efficiency100.9

100.9Defensive Efficiency97.9

-3.0Net Efficiency3.0

43.8%Effective FG%47.5%

48.9%True Shooting %50.6%

16.6%Turnover Rate18.1%

39.3%Free Throw Rate21.7%

37.5%3-Point Rate28.3%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.58

Game Summary

Gardner-Webb won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 66.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.