Bellarmine

13-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.0%Bellarmine

39.0%North Florida

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBellarmine -2.0

PROJECTED TOTAL170.6

MODEL MONEYLINEBellarmine -156

North Florida

7-25

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreBellarmine 86

Projected Total170.6

Projected ScoreNorth Florida 84

Team Comparison

BellarmineMetricNorth Florida

44.9MMH Power Index36.3

119.6Offensive Efficiency109.4

122.1Defensive Efficiency121.1

-2.5Net Efficiency-11.7

-2.8Strength of Schedule-0.6

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.3

66.9Tempo72.8

60.0%Effective FG%53.6%

15.3%Turnover Rate17.2%

22.7%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

35.3%Free Throw Rate29.5%

-1.7Average Margin-8.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Bellarmine HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBellarmine holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (44.9–36.3), offensive efficiency (119.6–109.4), net efficiency (-2.5–-11.7), recent form (0.3–-9.3).

North Florida COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (121.1–122.1), strength of schedule (-0.6–-2.8), offensive rebounding (26.6–22.7).

Final

Bellarmine

114—117

North Florida

North Florida by 3 • 79.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

BellarmineTEAM STATNorth Florida

43-72FG39-63

60.0%FG%62.0%

12-273PT19-38

44.0%3PT%50.0%

16-20FT20-23

80.0%FT%87.0%

23Rebounds29

6Offensive Rebounds6

22Assists24

6Turnovers9

4Steals4

1Blocks3

17Fouls21

Player Box Score

Bellarmine

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brian Waddell	F	37	12-20	2-6	0-0	3	5	0	1	26
Jack Karasinski	F	36	7-11	0-2	9-10	3	2	1	0	23
Sam Donald	F	32	8-10	5-6	1-1	3	2	1	0	22
Kenyon Goodin	G	41	5-11	4-9	4-4	6	3	1	0	18
Tyler Doyle	G	39	8-11	0-0	1-3	2	8	0	0	17
Jacob Wassler	C	10	2-3	1-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	5
Michael Wilson Jr.	F	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Donovan Hunter	F	13	0-4	0-3	1-2	1	0	1	0	1
Darrius Bolden	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Myles Watkins	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Grant Whitaker	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

North Florida

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kamrin Oriol	G	42	10-15	3-7	10-11	3	15	1	0	33
Kent Jackson	G	40	9-15	9-15	0-0	2	1	1	0	27
Devin Hines	G	26	7-9	1-2	1-2	3	0	1	2	16
Dalton Gayman	F	26	3-3	0-0	6-6	2	0	0	0	12
BJ Plummer	F	36	4-9	3-7	0-0	3	0	1	1	11
Mason Lee	F	30	3-5	1-1	0-0	9	7	0	0	7
Trey Cady	F	7	2-5	2-5	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Nestor Dyachok	F	13	1-2	0-1	2-2	3	1	0	0	4
Dante Oliver	G	5	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

79.2Possessions79.2

143.9Offensive Efficiency147.7

147.7Defensive Efficiency143.9

-3.8Net Efficiency3.8

68.1%Effective FG%77.0%

69.9%True Shooting %79.1%

7.4%Turnover Rate11.7%

27.8%Free Throw Rate36.5%

37.5%3-Point Rate60.3%

3.67Assist / Turnover2.67

Game Summary

North Florida won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 79.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in True Shooting %, Effective FG%, Free Throw Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.